📊 Fed Rate Cut Odds Shift Ahead of July & September FOMC Meetings
According to BlockBeats, data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows traders are overwhelmingly betting that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in July, but expectations for a rate cut by September are growing.
🔍 Key Probabilities:
📅 July 30 FOMC Meeting
🟩 94.8% chance Fed holds rates
🟥 5.2% chance of a 25 bps cut
📅 September 17 FOMC Meeting
⚖️ 39.6% chance of no change
📉 57.4% chance of a 25 bps cumulative cut
📉📉 3.0% chance of a 50 bps cumulative cut
🧠 Market Sentiment:
The Fed is expected to stay on hold in the near term, but a gradual easing cycle could begin as early as September, depending on inflation and labor data trends.
💬 Why It Matters for Crypto:
Lower interest rates often mean a weaker dollar, stronger risk sentiment, and more liquidity — factors that can boost Bitcoin and altcoin markets.