#我的策略演变

The cryptocurrency market changes drastically, making the choice of the right trading strategy crucial.

Below is a comparative analysis of the timing and suitable scenarios for 'Short-term Trading,' 'Swing Trading,' and 'Trend Trading':

📌 I. Short-term Trading (Scalping / Day Trading)

✅ Suitable timing:

When market volatility is high (such as major news, CPI announcements, FOMC meetings, etc.)

Highly liquid cryptocurrencies (e.g., BTC, ETH) with good slippage control

Buy high and sell low within the consolidation range, capturing very short-term support and resistance reactions

When there is clear range and pattern support/resistance

⚙️ Characteristics:

Holding period: A few minutes to a few hours

Frequent entry and exit, relying on technical analysis and candlestick patterns (e.g., 3 minutes, 5 minutes)

Suitable for traders who have time to monitor and are familiar with technical analysis

📉 Tools and References:

Multi-level candlestick resonance (1min, 5min, 15min)

VWAP, OBV, Trading Volume

Support and resistance points, wicks trigger, false breakout structure

📌 II. Swing Trading

✅ Suitable timing:

Clear mid-term reversal or continuation trend in the market

Breakout from a bottom / Head and Shoulders bottom / Triangle breakout and other wave structures appear

Range consolidation turning into breakout phase

Want to participate in the market but don't want to trade frequently within the day

⚙️ Characteristics:

Holding period: A few days to one or two weeks

Plan entry and exit based on trend reversals from 4H to daily charts

Combining technical analysis and capital flow judgment (such as ETF net inflow, whale position changes)

📉 Tools and References:

Daily/4H level support and resistance

RSI, MACD divergence signals

Beta, crowded areas, weekly moving average support/resistance

📌 III. Trend Trading (Trend Following / Position Trading)

✅ Suitable timing:

Market enters a clear bullish or bearish trend

Long-term moving averages show a bullish arrangement and continue to create new highs/lows

Macroeconomic/capital favorable resonance (e.g., ETF approval, halving market, large institutional entries)

Suitable for traders who cannot monitor frequently but wish to capture long-term trends

⚙️ Characteristics:

Holding period: Several weeks to several months

Focus on trend structure and risk-reward ratio

Tolerate intermediate fluctuations, capturing the entire wave trend

📉 Tools and References:

EMA50/100/200 bullish arrangement

Fibonacci Retracement + Moving Average Resonance

Fundamentally favorable news and long-term capital inflow (e.g., Grayscale position changes)

🎯 Summary Comparison Table:

Strategy Holding Period Suitable Market Conditions Entry and Exit Frequency Technical Requirements Suitable Audience

Short-term Trading Minutes~Hours High volatility, clear support and resistance High High Experienced traders who can monitor

Swing Trading Days~Weeks Clear breakout and reversal signals Moderate Moderate Experienced but time-limited traders

Trend Trading Weeks~Months Clear bullish/bearish trend, favorable fundamentals Low Moderate Long-term investors, those with larger capital