$SOL Based on 1 hour chart
Technical Overview
Price: $159.33 (down 1.68%)
24h Low / High: $157.66 – $164.97
MA Levels:
MA(7): 160.04 (short-term resistance)
MA(25): 162.23 (medium resistance)
MA(99): 158.57 (key support currently tested)
Indicators:
RSI(6): 34.42 → near oversold
MACD: Bearish (DIF -0.99, DEA -0.48) → momentum still down
Price bounced from support at 157.66 (near MA(99))
⚖️ Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case (Long Setup)
Entry: $158.50 – $159.50 (current zone)
SL: Below $157.50
TP1: $162.20 (MA25)
TP2: $164.50 – $165.00 (recent high)
Rationale: Price is near the MA(99) which may act as dynamic support. RSI near oversold may signal a short-term bounce.
🚨 Bearish Case (Short Setup if bounce fails)
Entry: If it fails to hold above $158.50 and breaks $157.50
SL: $159.80
TP1: $155.00
TP2: $152.00
Rationale: Momentum (MACD) still weak, and break below key support could open room for further downside.
📊 Recommendation
Wait for the next 1–2 candles to confirm bounce or breakdown:
✅ Green candle with volume above 159.50 = consider long
🚫 Break below 157.50 with red volume = short bias
If uncertain, avoid trading in chop zone (157.50–160.50) and watch for breakout/rejection confirmation.