#USCryptoWeek

How it could go wrong:

1. Tariffs Go Live

• Trump announces immediate 25–40% tariffs on key Asian imports

• Markets react with a sharp risk-off move:

• S&P500 dips 2–3%

• BTC drops to $96K–100K zone

• ETH tests $2,150

Why: Tariffs fuel dollar strength, hurt risk assets, and crypto pulls back alongside equities.

2. FOMC Minutes Signal Rate Hike Risk

• Fed minutes hint at potential further rate hike or delayed cuts due to inflation from tariffs.

• Yields spike → pressure on BTC and altcoins

• Futures liquidations accelerate, altcoins bleed 5–10%.

3. SEC Enforcement Blitz

• SEC announces new enforcement actions against 3–4 medium-cap tokens (speculation around CAKE, INJ, or APT)

• US crypto market confidence weakens further

• DeFi tokens drop 12–20% in 48 hours

4. Stablecoin Bill Stalemate

• Congress delays or blocks the Stablecoin Oversight Act

• Market uncertainty over USDC, TUSD regulatory status → stablecoin pegs slightly wobble (USDC trades at 0.997–0.999)

5. ETF Inflows Dry Up

• Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows fall sharply as investors go risk-off

• Price pressure increases toward $94K–98K