2025/7/12 Ethereum Weekly Waterfall Reminder
The real accelerated decline may begin next Monday. After breaking below 2600, it will quickly drop below 2000, ultimately approaching around 1500. If the top formation does not close down after forming, it proves that we are looking for a 'high selling point'. No segment of market rise occurs without high selling; if a surge occurs after holding bottom chips and there is no healthy pullback at the weekly level, it is likely brewing a grand harvest feast.
Assuming a differentiation of 1/2 between the 21-year formation and the 25-year formation, a dense area of chips has already formed a large number of bullish accumulation zones. After the market rises to around 3000 this week, the same situation will occur. The next step will certainly focus on harvesting, but the harvesting process will center around <high selling point>.
If we take point A as the high selling point, then point B needs to close low to prevent a large number of retail investors from fleeing at the top. Otherwise, during a crash, there will not be a low closing phenomenon at the key low closing position, so the entire downward market will complete the harvesting pattern corresponding to A and B, C and D.
Similarly, the opposing market and betting market are real trading markets that 90% of retail investors have not experienced. As long as the secondary market intervenes to push up and control down, the frequency of retail investors entering the market will be greatly increased. The next step will be a grand feast between large funds and the secondary market.
But whether it is possible to catch the high selling point depends on your mindset and judgment of the market. If you are willing to put out 30% of your position with 5x leverage and implement a high selling strategy at this position without being shaken off, you will reap a considerable return within two months. In this process, please forget about the market, log out of your account, and abandon all K-line indicator references, because the direction is often correct, but eventually, the position is lost. The biggest reason for this is that you hold trend positions while doing what you should be doing for a swing trade. Those who trade trends are commonly known as <lazy people>; this group can hold long positions for a year or short positions for a year, but they manage their positions very rigorously. It is very difficult to incur losses because this group primarily focuses on shorting, as low closing must lead to high selling, but high selling does not necessarily lead to low closing, hence many tokens facing explosive risks.