#突破交易策略 The news from the Federal Reserve is caught in a tug-of-war between dovish and hawkish sentiments. The surge in the past two months has mostly concentrated in the early morning hours. After Bitcoin reached a high of 112000, it encountered resistance and has since pulled back, with no effective breakthrough above at this time. Currently, without a clear operational strategy, one can easily fall into a passive situation of being stuck and holding on stubbornly.

From the daily chart, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have entered a narrow consolidation, with the volatility range continuously tightening, which is a typical contraction oscillation pattern. Switching to the 4-hour cycle, the oscillation range has tightened even further, and the market is at a critical juncture in choosing its direction. Specifically for Bitcoin, a strong resistance has formed near the upper trend line. Although the price briefly touched this area, the rebound momentum is clearly lagging behind, and continued sideways movement may strengthen the resistance effect of this level.

In summary, the short-term outlook is likely still characterized by wide oscillations and back-and-forth movements, with little possibility of a one-sided upward trend in the near term. This oscillation may even continue until the end of the monthly chart. Considering the current market situation, it is recommended to focus on short positions, seizing opportunities to short on rallies within the range.