80s crypto senior: From 100,000 to several million in 10 years, relying solely on a 'stupid' method.
I am 37 years old this year, from Hunan, with two houses, one for my family and one for myself. After 10 years of trading cryptocurrencies, turning 100,000 into several million, not relying on insider information, luck, but solely on a 'stupid method.'
The best moment, turning 400 times in 4 months, earning 20 million.
Now I am sharing my 3600 days of experience with you for free.
There is a stupid method for trading cryptocurrencies that almost guarantees profitability. I made over 20 million with this method.
Along this journey, I have summarized six iron laws of cryptocurrency trading, and today I share them with you in hopes of helping you avoid detours!
Iron law one: Understanding market sentiment, volume is key.
-Volume increases but price doesn't drop: This may be a stop-loss signal.
-Volume increase without price rise: If trading volume increases but the price does not rise, it may indicate a top in the short term.
-Upward movement requires continuous volume increase: During an upward movement, trading volume needs to steadily increase. If there is a sudden decrease or an explosion in volume, the upward movement may end.
-Volume increase at key support level: During a decline, key levels breaking with volume may indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
Iron law two: Key levels determine buying and selling.
-Resistance levels, support levels, trend lines: Act swiftly when prices touch these points!
-Golden Ratio: I use it to predict pressure and support, and the effect is very good.
Iron law three: Monitor multiple time windows.
-1-minute chart: Look for entry and exit opportunities. -3-minute chart: Monitor the swing situation after entry.
-30-minute/1-hour lines: Determine intraday trend changes.
Iron law four: Don't rush to recover after stop-loss.
-Stop-loss = end of the trade: Every trade is a new beginning; don't let previous operations affect your mindset.
Iron law five: Simple and practical position management method -- Three-part position method.
1. When the price breaks above the 5-day moving average, buy the first part;
2. Break above the 15-day moving average, buy the second part.
3. Break above the 30-day moving average, buy the third part.
-Strict stop-loss: Sell the first part when breaking below the 5-day moving average; sell the second part when breaking below the 15-day moving average; liquidate when breaking below the 30-day moving average!
Iron law six: Selling must also have a strategy # Binance Alpha new listing.
-Breaking below the 5-day moving average at high levels: Sell one part first, observe subsequent trends.
-Breaking below the 15-day and 30-day moving averages: Without hesitation, sell everything!
Select cryptocurrency: Clearly identify the cryptocurrency you want to trade, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), etc.
Position Management: Determine your position size based on your capital management strategy and risk tolerance.
Trading Direction: Determine whether to go long (buy) or short (sell) based on market trends and technical analysis.
Entry timing: Choose a suitable entry point based on technical indicators, support levels, and resistance levels.
Stop-loss strategy: Set a loss exit point to control risk. Typically, set the stop-loss below the entry price.
Take-profit settings: Determine a profit exit point to ensure returns. Generally set the take-profit level at the target price.
Emergency response: Develop strategies for unexpected events, such as significant news or market fluctuations.
Review Summary: After trading, summarize, record logs, reflect on experiences and lessons, and adjust trading strategies. After planning, it is crucial to execute, maintain patience, and strictly adhere to trading rules.
Validated through a decade of blood and tears: 90% of techniques are traps; only MACD divergence can break the deadlock of human nature.
There is no holy grail in the crypto space, only the breathing rhythm of survivors.
"When you're staring at the candlestick dreaming of hundreds of times returns, the market maker is calculating your liquidation price with MACD divergence."
In 2015, I entered the crypto space with 500,000, never expecting to experience three liquidations and eight bankruptcy agreements ten years later, nor to discover that all technical indicators are puppets of the market makers, with MACD divergence being the sharp knife piercing through market lies. Today, I want to tear off the veil of the 'get-rich myth' and tell you with blood-etched MACD tactics: In the crypto space, the secret to survival is learning to dance with the market makers.
Three core weapons of MACD: Divergence, Golden Cross, and Volume Squeeze.
1. Divergence hunting technique: The DNA code of market makers' washouts.
Top Divergence Trap: When BTC surged to $69,000 in 2021, the MACD energy bars had shrunk for three consecutive weeks, forming a textbook-level top divergence. At that time, I was heavily leveraged long but decisively closed my position when the energy bar shrank for the third time, avoiding a subsequent 58% crash.
Bottom divergence counterattack: After LUNA's crash in 2023, the weekly UST showed a MACD bottom divergence signal, combined with on-chain whale address 0x5f3 continuously accumulating for three weeks, successfully capturing the 2024 RWA narrative reversal market.
First golden cross trial: When PEPE's first daily golden cross occurs in April 2024, a significant movement of 20 million USDT appears in OKEx hot wallets, signaling market makers testing resistance.
Secondary golden cross slaughter: When the 30-minute line and the 4-hour line form a resonance golden cross, and large on-chain transfers break through warning lines, it is the true charge moment.
3. Volume Squeeze Formula: MACD + Death Cross of On-chain Data.
Energy bar contraction alert: When price hits a new high but the MACD red energy bar height is less than 70% of the previous peak, immediately initiate the '5-15-30 minute three-cycle stop-loss strategy.'
Exchange hot wallet monitoring: When MACD shows a golden cross, if the inflow of USDT into Binance/OKEx hot wallets does not reach three times the average of the previous 24 hours, it is considered a false breakout signal.
Eight years forged eight iron laws: The battlefield code of MACD warriors.
① Three-cycle resonance principle.
30-minute line determines direction: When MACD golden cross occurs, the DIF line must break above the zero axis and stabilize; 2-hour 94-hour line judges intensity: The energy bar height must reach 80% of the previous high, otherwise it is considered a weak pullback. 7-day line locks trend: When the weekly MACD is above the zero axis, any daily death cross is a washout (2024 BTC $48,000 to $52,000 fluctuation period has been verified).
② Divergence stop-loss formula.
Top Divergence Nuclear Button: Price hits a new high + MACD peak lower than previous high + on-chain whale address net outflow >$5 million, immediately initiate stop-loss.
Bottom divergence buying scale: Price breaks below the previous low + MACD energy bar volume shrinkage >60% + exchange contract long-short ratio <0.7, build positions in three batches.
③ Energy bar offense and defense battle.
Red energy bar breakout point: Three consecutive bars with volume less than 50% of the previous bar signal bullish exhaustion (2025 DOGE $0.35 crash precursor).
Green energy bar charge: The first enlarged bar exceeds twice the 30-day average, combined with soaring exchange lending rates, is considered a prelude to a breakout.
MACD and human nature game: From liquidating 8 million to a cognitive leap to 600 million.
1. Emotional Firewall Construction Technique.
Energy bar meditation training: Daily comparison of 10 sets of historical top-bottom divergence cases to cultivate muscle memory for false breakouts.
On-chain data synchronization monitoring: When MACD signals occur, it is necessary to verify the movements of whale addresses (Nansen whale monitoring table can be obtained for free at the end of this article).
2. Ultimate formula for position control.
MACD golden cross initiator: The first position should not exceed 5% of total funds, increase by 3% when breaking previous highs, and increase by 2% when bouncing back without breaking.
Divergence Stop-Loss Guillotine: Strictly control single losses within 2%, immediately stop trading after three consecutive stop losses for 24 hours.
3. Periodicity cognitive reconstruction.
Bull-Bear Transition Detector: Weekly MACD golden cross above zero axis confirms the main wave of a bull market (2025 AI + DePIN narrative startup signal).
Death Cross Alert: Monthly MACD high-level death cross + USDT market cap ratio <5%, immediately initiate bear market defense mode.
The ultimate advice from the instructor.
"MACD is not a predictive tool, but a thermometer of the main funds' flow. When you learn to measure market sentiment with the height of the energy bars and to see through the market makers' hidden cards using divergence signals, a net worth of 600 million is merely a byproduct of cognitive realization."
Blindly going solo will never bring opportunities. Follow me, and I will guide you to explore tenfold potential coins! Top-tier resources!
Entering the crypto space for the 10th year, I initially suffered huge losses, experienced both gains and losses midway, and now rely entirely on the crypto space to support my family. I summarized some experiences to share with you, hoping to help. As long as you do it, losing will be difficult.
In crypto trading, an ideal 15-minute trading strategy involves applying technical indicators such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), combined with robust risk management skills. Effective use of these tools helps us find accurate entry and exit points, which is particularly crucial for short time frame trading styles.
The key to this strategy lies in executing strict stop-loss orders and adjusting position sizes based on current market volatility.
Key components of a successful 15-minute trading strategy depend on multiple key factors, including market conditions, precise technical indicators, clear entry and exit points, strict risk management measures, ideal trading times, rigorous backtesting, continuous market monitoring, and the efficiency of selected indicators.
It is very important to use relatively tight stop-loss and customized take-profit levels. For example, a typical suggestion might be to set a 10-point stop-loss paired with a 20-point take-profit, which can effectively protect traders from significant capital losses while locking in potential gains.
Adjusting position sizes based on volatility and current market conditions can strengthen this protective framework, ensuring that each trade is proportionate to the assessed risk (2:1 return-risk ratio).
Effective technical indicators suitable for 15-minute trading.
Due to their responsiveness and accuracy, several tools stand out in assessing the effectiveness of technical indicators for 15-minute trading cycles. Moving averages and Bollinger Bands provide detailed information about market trends and volatility, making them very useful in short-term trading analysis.
Relative Strength Index (RSI), Parabolic SAR, and Average Directional Index (ADX) help identify potential reversal points and maintain market momentum, thereby enhancing your trading decisions. Moving Averages.
Using moving averages, especially 5-day and 10-day moving averages, can simplify trend analysis and help determine market volatility on 15-minute trading charts. These short-term moving averages are often used when executing momentum trading strategies, focusing on capturing rapid market changes triggered by currency pair volatility.
Moving average crossover technique is a major aspect of this method. When the 5-day moving average crosses above the 10-day moving average, it indicates a potential buying opportunity; conversely, it signals a sell. These moving averages also help traders identify support and resistance levels, which are crucial for trend-following strategies within this compressed timeframe. Understanding the positioning of these levels allows traders to better predict potential reversals or trend continuations, thereby improving decision-making accuracy.
Combining Fibonacci retracement with moving averages provides another framework for price action analysis. Through this combination, traders can identify key price points and adjust their strategies to ensure alignment with the micro fluctuations shown in the 15-minute chart and the overall trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in 15-minute trading strategies. This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, with values ranging from 0 to 100.
Typically, an RSI (Relative Strength Index) below 30 indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a potential buying opportunity, while above 70 indicates an overbought condition, signaling a possible sell-off. Traders often use these thresholds to predict reversals when the market reassesses prices.
RSI also provides signals for trend confirmation. When RSI is consistent with the current price trend, it confirms the current momentum, allowing traders to strengthen their positions accordingly. For example, in a bull market, an RSI above 50 supports the continuation of the upward trend. In a bear market or during price declines, an RSI below 50 can confirm a downward trend.
RSI divergence plays a significant role in identifying changes in market dynamics. When RSI diverges from the corresponding price trend—i.e., when prices hit new highs or lows, but RSI does not—this often indicates a weakening trend and may signal a reversal.
This inconsistency between price and RSI can be a powerful signal prompting reevaluation of positions, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of short-term trading strategies.
Bollinger Bands.
The Bollinger Band indicator can help traders assess market volatility and identify potential breakout points in 15-minute trading strategies. By placing price movements within dynamic 'envelopes,' these indicators adjust based on recent price volatility, making them highly suitable for the rapid decision-making required in a 15-minute timeframe.
◎ Bollinger Band Squeeze (Contraction): When Bollinger Bands tighten around the price, it indicates reduced volatility, typically signaling significant price movements. Traders watch for breakouts after squeezes as signals to enter trades.
◎ Breakouts and Reversals: Price breaking through bands can signal impending reversals or trend continuations, which is critical for quick profits in the 15-minute chart.
◎ Bollinger Band Width: This indicator helps quantify market volatility. A narrowing width indicates potential squeezing, while an expanding width signifies increased volatility.
◎ Touch Points: Price reaching the lower or upper band can serve as key trading signals, indicating overbought or oversold conditions.
Each of these aspects ensures that Bollinger Bands become part of effective trading in short time frames (especially during squeezes), providing insights into market dynamics (especially during consolidations).
Parabolic SAR.
Another effective technical indicator suitable for 15-minute trading strategies is the Parabolic SAR, which excels at setting trailing stop losses and exit timing. This indicator is known for its ability to provide clear exit signals, enhancing the risk management techniques of short-term traders.
When analyzing the Parabolic SAR indicator.
(Parabolic SAR) strategy shows that this indicator performs well in trending markets. Traders typically use it to determine stop-loss levels, effectively protecting profits or preventing significant losses. By adjusting the acceleration factor, traders can fine-tune the indicator's sensitivity to align it with their trading strategy.
When comparing the Parabolic SAR indicator with other indicators, its effectiveness is reflected in its simplicity and direct visual presentation on charts. Unlike more complex indicators, the Parabolic SAR provides direct, actionable information without requiring extensive explanations, which is crucial in the fast-paced 15-minute trading window. Average Directional Index (ADX).
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is crucial for quantifying trend strength and identifying current market trends. Traders rely on ADX to show the strength of a trend. The interpretation of ADX is important under various market conditions, providing a clear view of whether a trend is strengthening or weakening. When trading within a 15-minute timeframe, ADX provides critical information:
Trend Confirmation: An ADX value above 25 indicates a strong trend, laying a reliable foundation for trend-following strategies. This level of trend strength is crucial for confirming potential entry signals. ◎ Detecting Trend Weakness: A decline in the ADX value indicates a weakening trend, alerting traders that market conditions may change or that they should proceed with caution.
ADX Cross: When +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) and -DI (Negative Directional Indicator) cross, it may signal a trend reversal, guiding traders on when to potentially exit or enter opposite positions. ◎ Filtering Market Noise: By distinguishing between trending markets and range-bound markets, ADX helps filter out trade setups with lower profit potential, focusing on those with higher success probabilities. Stochastic Oscillator.
Based on the Average Directional Index, the stochastic oscillator can also serve as a tool for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in 15-minute trading. This indicator is particularly suitable for short-term traders looking to capitalize on rapid market fluctuations.
The stochastic oscillator involves two lines: %K, which measures the current price relative to the highest and lowest price over a specified period; %D,
It is the moving average of %K. When %K breaks %D in the oversold zone (below 20), it usually indicates a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, when %K breaks %D in the overbought zone (above 80),
When breaking %D, it usually signifies a sell signal. The settings for the stochastic oscillator can be adjusted; however, on a 15-minute chart, traders typically use a 14-period %K and a 3-period %D. These settings help smooth the output of the indicator, making signals clearer, especially in short-term trading where frequent price fluctuations can easily disrupt signals.
Identifying divergences in the stochastic oscillator can enhance the accuracy of trades. When prices form new highs or lows, but the stochastic oscillator does not show corresponding changes, a divergence occurs, suggesting a potential price reversal. Divergences can serve as clues indicating possible shifts in strength during price movements, which may not be evident in pure price action.
SuperTrend (Super Trend Indicator).
In 15-minute trading, another important indicator is SuperTrend, which effectively identifies trend direction and sets ideal stop-loss levels. The advantage of SuperTrend lies in its simplicity and clarity, accurately issuing bullish or bearish signals of market sentiment.
SuperTrend combines price volatility and average true range (ATR) factors to determine the position of the trend line. This helps traders make informed decisions quickly based on current market conditions, especially suitable for short-term trades like 15-minute charts.
When configuring SuperTrend settings, traders usually adjust the ATR multiplier and period to fit the volatility and price dynamics of the traded asset. Adjusting these settings is crucial for improving the sensitivity of the indicator to price fluctuations, thus enhancing the accuracy of trend predictions and the effectiveness of stop-loss orders.
Determine entry and exit points.
Determining precise entry and exit points on a 15-minute forex chart requires the use of technical indicators and chart patterns to quickly capture short-term price fluctuations. Traders must analyze multiple trading indicators and patterns to make informed decisions rapidly.
The following are important tools and concepts for determining entry and exit points:
◎ Candlestick Patterns: Use common 15-minute candlestick patterns, such as engulfing patterns, hammer lines, or shooting stars. These patterns can indicate potential reversals or trend continuations, providing clear signals for entry or exit.
◎ Fibonacci Retracement: Apply Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential reversal points in the short term. These retracement levels often act as support or resistance levels, where prices may stop or reverse, thus being very important in fast trading.
◎ Support and Resistance Levels: Strong support and resistance levels are crucial in 15-minute trading. They provide areas where prices may pause or reverse. Identifying these levels helps in planning entry strategies for breakouts or pullbacks and setting accurate stop-loss or take-profit points.
◎ RSI and Moving Averages: Combine RSI with moving averages (such as the crossover of 5EMA and 20EMA) to confirm entry signals. RSI helps identify overbought or oversold conditions, while moving averages are used to determine trend direction and momentum, aiding timely execution of trades. Three common 15-minute trading strategies.
Due to its effectiveness and adaptability, several strategies are widely used.
The opening range breakout strategy utilizes early market volatility to establish profitable positions.
Conversely, breakout backtesting strategies and trading bull flag patterns provide a method to identify and exploit patterns for potential gains within this short timeframe.
On opening range breakout strategy.
The opening range breakout strategy utilizes the volatility of the first 15-minute candlestick of currency pairs after the London session opens to profit by placing trades at its high and low.
By focusing on price behavior during this timeframe, traders can observe potential directional trends based on intensity and market movement after market opening.
◎ Visual Candlestick: The first 15-minute candlestick is crucial; its upper and lower shadows represent potential breakout points.
Market entry: Traders set buy orders above the high of the candlestick and sell orders below its low, aiming to capture rapid fluctuations.
◎ Volatility Analysis: Assessing the size and shape of the opening candlestick can provide insights into early market sentiment and potential volatility.
◎ Trend Identification: Successful breakouts may confirm or establish trend direction, guiding subsequent trading decisions.
The opening range breakout forex strategy utilizes candlestick patterns to identify trading opportunities, ensuring that traders align with the initial momentum of the market by observing price behavior and market volatility. Breakout backtest strategies.
While the opening range breakout strategy utilizes early market volatility, breakout and backtest strategies focus on capturing price movements after retesting key support or resistance levels. This currency trading method is based on the principle that once a key level is broken, the price is likely to retest that level again before continuing the trend.
Traders using this method observe breakout patterns on higher time frames (such as 1-hour or 4-hour charts) to determine relevant support or resistance levels for the currency pair.
Once these levels are determined, the strategy will shift to the 15-minute chart, focusing on backtesting rebounds. The core of this strategy is to enter trades during these rebounds, capitalizing on the frequent small fluctuations that occur when prices retest previous breakout levels.
In ten years of trading cryptocurrency, turning 100,000 into 20 million with this trick, achieving a success rate of 99%, suitable for everyone.
The method I’m sharing today is actually very simple. Even if you're a beginner in the crypto space, as long as you strictly follow this method, you can easily make money.
First, we need to set three moving averages on the candlestick chart: the 5-day moving average, the 15-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average. The 30-day moving average is the lifeline, a strong support or resistance level. Then, we can trade the cryptocurrency based on these three moving averages.
1. The selected cryptocurrency must be in an uptrend; of course, those in consolidation are also acceptable, but those in a downtrend or with moving averages opening downwards should definitely not be chosen.
2. Divide the funds into three equal parts; when the price breaks above the 5-day moving average, lightly buy 30% of the position, and when the price breaks above the 15-day moving average, buy another 30%, similarly for breaking the 30-day moving average for the final 30%. This requirement must be strictly enforced.
3. If the price does not continue to break upwards after breaking above the 5-day moving average and instead retraces, as long as it does not break the 5-day line, maintain the original position; if it breaks, sell.
4. Similarly, if the price breaks above the 15-day moving average but does not continue to break upwards, and retests without breaking the 15-day moving average, continue to hold; if it breaks, sell 30% first, and if it does not break the 5-day moving average, continue to hold the remaining 30% position.
5. When the price continues to rise and breaks above the 30-day moving average, execute the previous method to sell once.
6. Selling is the opposite; when the price is high, sell 30% as soon as it breaks below the 5-day line; if it doesn't continue downwards, hold the remaining 60% position. If the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day lines all break, sell everything, don't hold on to false hopes.
This 'foolproof' method, while simple, is most importantly about execution. After you buy in, the trading system is established; you can only earn profits by strictly adhering to trading discipline.
Trading in the crypto space is essentially a battle between retail investors and market makers. If you don't have cutting-edge news or firsthand information, you will only be cut! If you want to layout together and harvest from the market makers, you can follow me!
Welcome like-minded individuals in the crypto space to discuss together~ There is a saying I strongly agree with: The boundary of knowledge determines the boundary of wealth; a person can only earn the wealth within their knowledge boundary.
Maintain a good mindset in cryptocurrency trading; don't let your blood pressure spike during a crash, nor become complacent during a surge; securing profits is crucial.
Seizing future building opportunities can allow many people to leap across classes again in a bull market!
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