#突破交易策略 #突破交易策略 The show begins! BTC long and short battle, who will be the first to be liquidated?

Current situation: BTC has reached a new high

BTC is currently at its peak, with 80% of the shorts being wiped out. Looking upwards, there are still a lot of shorts waiting to be "harvested" at 113,000, while looking downwards, there are large numbers of longs that may "liquidate" at 106,500.

Data speaks: The exchange's "harvesting plan"

Calculations show that the liquidation area for shorts above is greater than for longs below. What does this mean?

For example: It's like a fisherman finding a denser pile of fish upstream than downstream, so he would definitely choose to cast his net upstream. The exchanges are the same; the upper shorts are more lucrative, and the profit from going long and harvesting shorts is higher.

Key price points: Where is the lifeline?

Above 112800: The "nightmare point" for shorts, breaking through may trigger a chain liquidation.

Below 106,500: The "defensive line" for longs, losing this will trigger an avalanche of liquidations.

Real case review: Do you remember last year's incident when BTC plummeted from 28,000 to 25,000? It was triggered by hitting the densely packed liquidation zone for longs, resulting in a loss of 1 billion dollars in just a few hours!

The exchange's "business logic"

The simple and harsh truth: Exchanges are not charitable institutions; they will choose the direction with better profits. Current data shows that pushing up prices to harvest shorts is more "cost-effective" than crashing down to harvest longs.

Risk warning: Don't be fooled by the data!

However! The liquidation chart is just a "map" and not a "GPS navigation". Large funds can completely ignore this data, just as a giant ship can easily break through a fishing net.

A single tweet from Trump can instantly change BTC's face

Institutional funds can easily "reverse" liquidation logic

Market sentiment is more important than technical analysis

This analysis is like a weather forecast; it can be referenced but should not be solely relied upon.