#日内交易策略 1. Key News: Trump's Tariff Policy Disrupts the Market

Postponed but Intensified: Trump has pushed the original tariff deadline of July 9 to August 1 (short-term positive), but simultaneously imposed tariffs of 25%-40% on countries like Japan and South Korea (medium-term negative), also stating that August 1 is not 100% certain, causing market anxiety.

Market Reaction: As soon as the news broke, BTC fell from $110,000 to below $108,000, and U.S. stocks also dropped, with risk-averse sentiment rising. If tariff news continues to ferment tonight, it may further suppress BTC's rebound.

2. Technical Analysis: Focus on Two Critical Lines

Upper Pressure: $110,000-$110,350 is a strong resistance; after three failed attempts to break through, do not chase high without volume breakout.

Lower Support: $107,000-$106,000 is a critical support level, with a large number of buy orders propping it up; if it breaks, it may accelerate the decline to $105,000 or even $102,000.

Current Position: Currently stuck around $108,500, the hourly chart has broken the rising trend line ($108,200), indicating a weak short-term bias.

3. Long and Short Power Comparison

Bullish Momentum: Institutional ETFs are still quietly accumulating, with a net inflow of $52 million yesterday; whales are also hoarding September call options, betting on $130,000, indicating that large funds are optimistic about the third-quarter market.

Bearish Pressure: An ancient whale that hasn't moved for 14 years suddenly transferred 80,000 BTC, worth $8.6 billion, which could lead to a sell-off; miners are also selling, increasing short-term supply.

4. Tonight's Operational Strategy

Break above $110,000: Actively go long, targeting $112,800-$115,000 (stop loss at $108,500).

Break below $107,000: Reduce positions or go short, targeting $105,000-$102,000 (stop loss at $108,000).

Fluctuation Range ($107,000-$110,000): Sell high and buy low, quick in and out, with a focus on volume changes.