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🧭 1. Context and fundamentals

Project: Usual is a DeFi protocol that issues a USD0 stablecoin backed 1:1 by real assets like U.S. Treasury bonds, with a community governance model through the token $USUAL .

Founders and backing: Series A of $10 M led by Binance Labs and Kraken Ventures. Achieved a 15% jump after that backing.

Issuance dynamics: Deflationary issuance linked to its TVL (total value locked) and elevated rewards through staking (~278% APY in USUAL-staking).

Current status: Price ≈ $0.068 USD, market cap ~$72 M USD, daily volume $0.0596.

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🎯 2. Entry strategy

1. Initial entry range:

Ideal: $0.065–$0.070, key support zone close to lows and coinciding with localized volume.

2. Technique:

DCA (averaged) in 3 equal purchases within the cited range, especially if it breaks above $0.070 on a daily candle with volume.

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🔢 3. Risk management and position size

Stop-loss: Just below support, $0.060 (~10% below support).

Position size: Max. 2–3% of total capital in this trade; if the stop-loss is triggered, the loss will be limited to ~0.2–0.3% of the portfolio.

Dynamic management:

If it rises to $0.075–$0.080, move the stop to break-even (average entry price).

If it exceeds and consolidates above $0.080, adjust stop to +10% from entry to secure profit.

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📈 4. Exit targets

Target 1 (Short term):

$0.080–$0.090: technical rebound after recent lows. Reserve +30%.

Target 2 (Medium term):

$0.12–$0.15: reflects revaluation driven by predictions and possible hype due to increasing TVL and adoption of USD0++.

Target 3 (Ambitious):

$0.20+: consolidation zone at launch highs (~$1.64 ATH in December 2024) with possibility of correction after the hype.

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🧘 5. Position management

Price level Suggested action

$0.065–0.070 Stepped entries (DCA)

$0.080 Take ~30% profits, adjust stop to breakeven

$0.12–0.15 Take another 30–40% partial profits

> $0.15 Evaluate continuation towards bullish phase and adjust stop or close fully

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⚠️ 6. Risks and monitoring

Regulatory risk: The USD0 token is a stablecoin backed outside the traditional banking system, which implies more scrutiny.

Competition and adoption: Depends on the actual traction of the protocol — TVL and integrations. Monitor growth in TVL, adoption in DeFi bridges, and upcoming partnerships.

Volatility: Although it is DeFi, the price rises and falls sharply (~±10% daily). Use of stop-loss is critical.

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🛠 7. Monitoring and adjustments

Key news:

New investments or listings directly influence (like Binance Labs in Dec 2024).

Reports on TVL, partnerships with Ethena, tokens in Curve, etc.

Technical indicators:

Volume, RSI, moving averages (50/200): keys to review the strength of upward movement or exhaustion.

Market sentiment:

Monitor 'fear & greed', volume/market cap ratio (in June it was ~0.49, suggestive of rebound/recovery), and mentions on social media.

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✅ Visual summary of the plan

1. Entry: between $0.065–$0.070, DCA in 3 phases.

2. Stop-loss: at $0.060.

3. Profit-taking:

First target: $0.080 (30% of position)

Second: $0.12–$0.15 (40%)

Rest: evaluate above $0.15

4. Continuously review: TVL, partnerships, technical support.

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NOTE

This plan provides you with structure, discipline, and adaptation to market movements.

#Spot #StrategicTrading #trading #usual $USUAL