Trading warning: To profit from trading, having the right mindset and trading attitude is a prerequisite for success.
Before trading, we focus on analyzing the relationship between historical prices and future prices, with the goal of evaluating and judging what is about to happen based on established analytical facts. However, from a practical perspective, this is just the first step of a long journey.
Compared to investing in real money and silver, the focus should be on studying the technical distribution characteristics of prices to establish tradable market segments.
"24-hour important information in the cryptocurrency circle"
1. A dormant whale has transferred 20,000 BTC after 14 years, causing market fluctuations.
2. The U.S. House of Representatives will explore the cryptocurrency tax framework, which may affect industry policies.
3. Recently, companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have been frequently asked about their stablecoin strategies, leading to a surge in market attention.
4. Vitalik Buterin initiated the EIP-7983 proposal to enhance Ethereum's resistance to DoS attacks.
5. Michael Saylor may disclose Bitcoin accumulation data, and the market is closely watching.
6. This week, the net inflow of Ethereum spot ETFs reached $219.1 million, with institutional funds continuing to increase their positions.
7. The UAE denies granting golden visas to cryptocurrency investors.
8. The Fed's meeting minutes may maintain the expectation of no interest rate cuts in July, with the market watching for possible adjustments in September.
Tuesday is the day Trump announces the latest tariffs. According to current information, Japan will not bow to the U.S., and Europe is also unlikely to give Trump what he wants. If Trump does impose a 30% or even 50% tariff on Europe, it would be extremely negative for the market.
Now it all depends on whether Trump can stay tough as he claims or soften on the last day. The previous 10% tariff has already caused U.S. prices to start rising, and if additional tariffs are fully implemented, U.S. inflation will only worsen, with declining corporate profitability, layoffs, and economic recession being highly probable.
The only turning point now is if Trump changes his mind; his bottom line has always been very flexible. He previously announced tariff increases and then suddenly paused. The results announced next Tuesday are hard to predict.
But regardless of the outcome, the U.S. will impose certain additional tariffs compared to before, and inflation is bound to rise in the coming months; the only difference is whether it will rise moderately or significantly. The bull market may need to wait until the Fed steps in to rescue the market in September.
Last night, Bitcoin tested the upper resistance level near 110,000. It looks strong, but that doesn't mean one should recklessly chase after long positions; the conditions for going long here are very stringent! If this upward test can continue towards 110.5, watch for high short opportunities above; if it fails to break through, look for short opportunities after it returns to the descending channel.
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