BTC/USDT Technical & Fundamental Analysis – July 5, 2025
Technical Outlook (1H Timeframe):
$BTC is currently trading in a tight consolidation zone around $108,000, with price action forming a narrowing structure — often a precursor to a breakout move.
EMA(7), EMA(25), and EMA(99) are converging, signaling a neutral momentum phase, also known as a “squeeze” setup.
Stoch RSI is turning upward (75.1 & 68.3), hinting at building bullish momentum in the short term.
Key support levels: 🔹 $107,150 – recent low & EMA99 retest zone
🔹 $105,940 – last demand zone before the prior bullish push
Major resistance zones: 🔸 $108,350 – minor breakout point
🔸 $109,550 to $110,484 – previous swing highs, strong supply zone
📌 A confirmed breakout above $108,350 with volume could drive price toward $109.5K–$110K.
📌 Failure to hold $107.1K support may trigger another correction leg.
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Fundamental Highlights:
Market sentiment is stabilizing post-FOMC, with softer U.S. inflation data giving risk assets room to breathe.
$BTC shows relative strength compared to altcoins, signaling capital rotation back to major assets.
On-chain metrics show increasing active addresses and growing stablecoin inflows to exchanges — a possible sign of accumulation.
Binance Launchpool activity and new ecosystem campaigns (L2 expansion, tokenization) continue to attract retail and institutional attention.
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🎯 Takeaway & Strategy:
$BTC is at a pivotal level.
📍 Break above $108.35K = early bullish signal
📍 Break below $107.15K = short-term weakness confirmation
🧠 My approach: wait for breakout + volume confirmation, then follow direction with a tight stop-loss.
Remember, no trade is also a trade. 💡
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