#OneBigBeautifulBill
🇺🇸 Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” and Its Impact on Crypto
📜 What did Trump sign?
– A $4.5 trillion tax-and-spending package dubbed the “One Big Beautiful Bill” — includes major infrastructure investments, defense spending, tariff protections, and tax breaks.
– It increases the deficit, inflation risk, and introduces strong pro-American economic policies.
🔍 Key Implications for the Crypto Market
1. Inflation Expectations 📈
Massive spending + tariff pressure = upward CPI risk and weaker dollar. Analysts see this as fuel for inflation hedges like Bitcoin and gold.
2. Risk-On Capital Flow 💰
With tax breaks and stimulus for individuals and businesses, there’s more capital seeking yield. Part of this may flow into risk assets like BTC and ETH — some funds are already forecasting this.
3. Volatility Ahead ⚡
Arthur Hayes warned that the first wave could bring a liquidity squeeze and drop BTC toward $90K, before the trend flips bullish.
4. Regulatory Tone 🏛️
The bill is paired with pro-business rhetoric. Conservatives signaled support for relaxing crypto pressure, fast-tracking legislation like the Genius Act (esp. stablecoins). That’s bullish for altcoins and infrastructure tokens.
🔮 BTC Outlook Scenarios (Next 3 Months)
Scenario Summary Range
🟢 Inflation Boost CPI spikes, investors flee to BTC $110K–$130K
🟡 Sideways Drift Stimulus offset by high Fed rates $95K–$110K
🔴 Liquidity Shock Temporary panic/liquidity crunch $90K–$95K
🛠️ Investor Strategy
1. DCA approach — break entries into multiple stages; short-term dips are possible
2. Hedging — keep part of capital in stablecoins or gold during volatility
3. Watch CPI & Fed — higher inflation + Fed pause = strong bullish trigger
4. Altcoins — if regulation softens, DeFi & L2 could outperform
⚡ Conclusion
Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” brings a two-edged sword:
• Short-term volatility from liquidity distortion
• Mid-term upside from inflation momentum and a more pro-crypto regulatory outlook