#NFPWatch 🔍 This is what we read in the media... And here is what they write between the lines

The monthly magic of numbers - this is what Friday looks like on financial markets. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) - the data everyone is waiting for, and at the same time afraid of.

The headlines are loud:

‘Strong indicators - the dollar rises!’

‘Weak employment - a chance for the market!’

But this is just the surface.

__ Investors read the mood, not the numbers

The big paradox: **the market reacts not to facts, but to emotions about expected facts**.

When analysts forecast growth - the market moves ahead, even before the publication.

This is a game of expectations. Who guesses the crowd's mood - wins. Not the one who reads the reports.

The forecast is more important than reality

The data itself is like the final chord of a performance that has already been played.

The market _knows_ there will be a reaction. That’s why it creates it earlier.

After the report - a brief chaos, quick decisions, but this is no longer analytics. This is - **a ritual**.

📰 The media creates a narrative, not explanations

Instead of deep analysis - we have **emotional narratives**.

‘Strong numbers - the economy is strong’. But what exactly do these ‘strong’ mean?

NFP does not take into account:

- self-employed

- quality of work

- the impact of inflation

These are not all the components of a healthy economy - but this is kept quiet.

# Read trends, not headlines

A wise investor knows:

- short-term noise - it’s just noise

- behavior patterns - this is the real GPS

So instead of NFP swings - a strategy for the long distance.

Less emotion - more understanding.

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