#非农数据

Tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls will determine the fate! The Federal Reserve's last-ditch effort to cut rates in July

Global traders hold their breath! Tonight at 20:30, the U.S. June Non-Farm Payroll data will be revealed—this could be the last hope for the Federal Reserve to cut rates in July.

Last night, the 'little non-farm' ADP data unexpectedly collapsed, with employment numbers plunging by 33,000 (the first negative growth in two years!), directly pushing gold to a high of $3,350, and market expectations for rate cuts skyrocketing.

The bullet is already loaded, and the internal division within the Federal Reserve is heating up: Two of Trump's appointed governors, Waller and Bowman, are shouting 'must cut in July,' while Powell insists on 'waiting for tariff clarity,' and the president's furious insults of 'wooden-headed' pressure tactics are intensifying. If tonight's non-farm data disappoints again, the probability of a July rate cut will break through the 20% mark; if the data is solid, the Federal Reserve may hold steady before September.

An even more dangerous game lies ahead: the tariff suspension period ends on July 9, and Trump's 'trade sword' is about to fall! The dollar has already experienced its worst decline in half a century, and Goldman Sachs warns: if tonight's data is weak, the dollar may face a new wave of selling, while the euro and yen will seize the opportunity to reap gains.

This is the ultimate showdown between political pressure and data belief—the trembling fingertips of the global market await the non-farm data to ignite the fuse.