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#ETH 巨鲸地址（0x7a9）刚在3171挂$28M买单（强力支撑信号） Coinbase大宗交易台溢价0.7%（OTC买家暗中吸筹）
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$ETH 3168美元是近期重要支撑/压力位。若ETH能有效突破并站稳该位置（如收盘价持续高于3168），则可能开启新一轮上涨，目标看向3400~3550美元区间。 若反弹无力，未能突破3168，则可能形成30分钟级别的“3卖”信号，引发进一步回调至3000美元下方，甚至测试周线支撑1500美元。
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$ETH 阻力区间（3138-3155美元）：当前价格紧贴MA99均线（3138），该位置是长周期多空分界线。若30分钟级别放量突破并站稳3155美元，可能触发空头回补，推动价格测试3195-3215美元（7月9日高点）。 强支撑（3050-3030美元）：近期多次验证的机构成本区，与30日均线重合。若回调至此可视为健康蓄力，跌破则可能下探2978-29
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#eth 短期冲高回落。趋势层多头强劲，但执行层和风险层显示超买（KDJ >100, BB触及上轨），且量能不足（价升量缩=1），预计测试阻力3,032-3,033后回调。
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#ETH 短期（24H）：若守稳2930支撑，可能反弹至3022（4H阻力）；若破位，下看2860（EMA144日线）。 中期：周线EMA支撑（2580-2670）未破，回调后有望测试前高3083。 变盘催化剂： 美债收益率（4.43%）与美元指数（98.04）若回落，利好风险资产。 关注ETH Gas费（90日均值584,615）骤升，可能预示链上活跃度回升。 结论：当前是上升趋势中的深度回调，非熊市下跌。恐慌情绪释放后，若链上资金回流（ETF+巨鲸），反弹概率较高。
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