#TrumpVsMusk

BITCOIN MARKET OUTLOOK

July 2025

1. Market Snapshot

Bitcoin is trading between $71,000 and $73,000, with a market cap exceeding $1.35 trillion and a 48% share of the crypto market. Trading volumes remain strong around $30 billion daily, supported by institutional interest and global retail activity.

2. Key Market Drivers

Major drivers include the April 2024 halving, U.S. ETF approvals, and rising global adoption as an inflation hedge. Uncertainties persist due to regulatory policies in Asia and market volatility from whale sell-offs.

3. Technical Overview

RSI readings near 60–65 suggest a mildly overbought state. The 200-day moving average continues upward, and MACD indicates bullish momentum. The Fear & Greed Index is in the 'Greed' zone, reflecting strong sentiment.

4. Price Scenarios (Q3–Q4 2025)

• Bullish: $85,000–$95,000 if ETF inflows and adoption continue.

• Base Case: $72,000–$80,000 under steady macro conditions.

• Bearish: $60,000–$68,000 if regulations tighten or global sentiment weakens.

5. Forward Outlook

Short term: Likely range-bound above $70k. Mid-term: Gradual rise possible to $85k with positive signals. Long-term: Bitcoin remains positioned for six-figure valuation by 2026–2027 if adoption trends persist.