The first day of this month started, and BTC did not manage to break through the upper trend of the downward trend as hoped, accompanied by the formation of the third 4-hour top structure. For now, we will continue to look down, and in the short term, there may be an opportunity to test around 103000. There is also a probability of continuing to fall and testing the previous low range of 98000-101000. If this area does not continue to drop during the test, then a rebound could lead to another attempt to break the previous high. However, if it continues to decline and rebounds without surpassing 103000, there is a likelihood this month to test around 96000. If it falls to that point, there will be suspicion of a head forming on the weekly chart, and the second half of the year, especially the third quarter, may not perform well. The spot market is not good for layout, after all, since the bull market after 2024 has only been BTC's own bull market. Even the second brother is increasingly struggling, and it has never broken through the previous high.