📊 The network funding volume remains stable in the 'Equilibrium Zone'. What will happen to Bitcoin next?
The average transfer volume in the Bitcoin network is currently $58.7B, positioned in the middle of the $40B-$80B equilibrium zone. This range has become a 'core indicator' for measuring market funding activity since the beginning of 2024.
🔍 How do I understand this signal?
Upper limit = approaching a peak?
When the funding volume approaches $80B, it often signals a temporary high point—such as the two peaks at 70K and 100K that corresponded to this value.
Lower limit = buy opportunity?
When the funding volume nears $40B, it indicates a short-term market coolness, but is often quickly 'picked up', leading to a high probability of rebound.
What does the current $58.7B mean?
It’s like the calm before a storm:
The market funds haven’t receded, nor have they peaked,
it’s a typical 'consolidation and accumulation' phase,
similar to the strong rally phase after the consolidation in July 2021.
📈 Personal Opinion:
Funds haven’t left, the trend isn’t dead. As long as it doesn’t drop below $40B, the fundamentals remain stable;
Pay attention to the moment it breaks above $80B, as that will signal a full-scale market entry, making it easier for the market to accelerate;
Conversely, if it consistently drops below $40B for several weeks, that might indicate a real bear market approaching.
Current Position: No position, cashed out on the BTC108500 long position yesterday.
🧠 Beyond the data, I also pay attention to the inflow platforms, changes in active addresses, on-chain accumulation behaviors, and other detailed signals weekly. If you’re also monitoring the trend, don’t forget to follow along, let’s be calm and rational profit-makers together.