Market Outlook and Operations for Bitcoin (2025.7.1)

A decline is an opportunity, a massive surge of 130,000 is conceivable!!!

The daily chart shows a bullish pennant pattern, maintaining a low long bias.

Macroeconomic Impact:

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 79.8%. Short-term liquidity expectations are tight, suppressing risk assets; however, the US debt ceiling issue may trigger liquidity release in August, and the market anticipates this will bring a new round of upward opportunities for altcoins. Historical data show that whenever TGA is released, a bull market in altcoins emerges. In mid-August this year, the US will deplete its cash reserves, and Wall Street generally expects a significant amount of TGA to be injected into the market. The impact this will have on the altcoin market is worth close attention.

Short Position Strategy

• Entry: 110300-110800

• Targets: First target 109500, second target 108500

• Stop Loss: Above 111000

Long Position Strategy

• Entry: 106000-106500

• Targets: First target 108500, second target 110000

• Stop Loss: Below 105000

Risk Warning and Precautions

· Position Management: Recent volatility has increased, it is recommended that a single trade position does not exceed 5% of total funds, reserving 30% cash to respond to extreme market conditions.

· Stop Loss Discipline: Strictly set stop losses to avoid holding onto losing positions.

· Take Profit Strategy: Take profit in batches at resistance/support levels by reducing positions by 50%, leaving the remainder to bet on a breakout.

Risk Warning: This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; please make rational decisions. #BinanceSquareTalks $BTC