Besides sales volumes, several technical metrics confirm increasing pressure on XRP’s price. The SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) indicator, which measures whether cryptos are sold at a gain or loss, reveals a concerning trend among holders who acquired their XRP between three and six months ago, that is, just after the start of the bullish rally.
According to Glassnode data, “this cohort sees its SOPR steadily decline”, meaning these investors are starting to sell at a loss even as other segments stabilize their behavior.
Realized price data by holder age provides additional insight. The average purchase price for holders 3–6 months old is estimated at 2.28 dollars, while for holders 6–12 months, it is around 1.35 dollars.
Currently, XRP trades around 2.02 dollars. This means new entrants are near breakeven, while longer-term holders still have a safety margin of nearly 35 % before reaching their profitability level. If the price continues to fall, this last tranche of investors could in turn trigger a wave of selling, exacerbating downward pressure.
In this context, XRP’s weekly chart shows a descending triangle pattern, typically associated with a trend reversal. If this pattern confirms, the price could plunge to the 1.35 to 1.60 dollar zone or even test a floor around 1.30 dollars. However, sustained recovery at the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA 50) could enable XRP to bounce back and target new highs around 3 dollars. The crypto market thus remains suspended on an unstable balance, caught between massive selling pressure and a potential technical reaction.
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