#USCorePCEMay
#StrategyBTCPurchase US Core PCE – May 2025 Data Recap
Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) – the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge – for May 2025 came in as follows:
🔹 Core PCE YoY (Year-over-Year):
+2.6% (vs 2.7% expected)
↘️ Lower than forecast, indicating cooling inflation.
🔹 Core PCE MoM (Month-over-Month):
+0.1% (vs 0.2% expected)
🧊 Soft monthly rise, showing moderation.
🔹 Headline PCE YoY:
+2.5% (in line with forecast)
📊 Matching market expectations.
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📉 Market Implications:
✅ Dovish signal for the Fed — adds support to rate cut speculation later this year.
💵 Dollar Index slightly weaker.
📈 Equities and Gold may benefit due to easing inflation pressure.
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🧠 What is Core PCE?
Core PCE excludes volatile food & energy prices and reflects underlying inflation trends — key for Fed rate decisions.