『400 Million FDV's 'Eastern Coinbase' - Is it a Golden Pit or a Zero Trap?』
Hong Kong Compliance King HSK dropped to $0.4 (FDV 400 million), employees rely on it for salaries! Wanxiang's favored child + Eastern Coinbase script, odds are 10 times higher than the local dogs! But the risks are also maximal...
「Speculators: Logic Chain of Price Surge」
1️⃣ Expected Listing:
Only on Gate? Ondo listed at 0.2 on Gate → surged to $2.5
If OKX/Binance lists (high probability for OK), fomo funds will rush in
2️⃣ Compliance Windfall:
CRCL compliance skyrocketing demonstrates effect
80% market share in Hong Kong + expectations of cooperation with JD stablecoin
3️⃣ Token Economics:
Group profits 20% used for buyback and destruction (though not yet initiated)
Employees have a cost price of $0.4, limited selling pressure
📈 Target Estimation:
Short-term speculation → 2-3 times (benchmarking OSL's 7 billion HKD market value)
If listed on major exchanges → 5-10 times (FDV rush to 2-4 billion dollars)
「Investors: Five Major Death Warnings」
1️⃣ Business Decline:
Hong Kong users are poor, mainland restrictions, overseas operations are constrained
Trading volume is being beaten by OSL (only 1/8 of theirs)
2️⃣ Internal Team Struggles:
Three waves of executive turnover, suspected makeshift team
Lack of 'self-reliant idealistic tough individuals'
3️⃣ Compliance Shackles:
Hong Kong policies are as slow as a snail, no hope for loosening
Cannot compete with Binance/OK's 'wild routes'
4️⃣ Hard to Chew Stablecoin Bonuses:
JD stablecoin cooperation ≠ easy profit
USDT/USDC's dominant position is hard to shake
5️⃣ Wanxiang is not a Savior:
Favored child ≠ unlimited blood transfusion, poor performance will still be cut