Here are my concrete expectations for Bitcoin (BTC) in the coming weeks, based on technical, fundamental analysis, and the current market context (June 2025):
🎯 My expectations for BTC – June to August 2025
1. Consolidation with slight increase
I expect BTC to fluctuate between $35,000 and $42,000 for several weeks.
This consolidation phase is healthy, allowing the market to absorb volumes and prepare for a potential rebound.
2. Test and possible break of resistance at $42,000
With stable institutional demand and Bitcoin Spot ETFs gaining popularity, the price should test the resistance at $42,000.
A strong break above this level could trigger a new rally towards $50,000 or even $55,000.
3. Controlled volatility
Even if volatility remains, it should be less than in an extreme bull run.
We will likely see movements between 5% and 10% over short periods, but nothing dramatic.
4. Positive sentiment with caution
Investors will generally be optimistic, encouraged by clearer regulation and real demand.
But they will remain vigilant about macroeconomic news (inflation, interest rates, geopolitical crises).
5. Gradual rise towards the 2028 halving
I see this period as an important accumulation phase, where "smart money" is gradually positioning itself.
With the next halving in about 3 years, expectations will continue to support the price.
🔍 To watch closely
Transaction volume on ETFs and institutional platforms.
Major regulatory news, particularly in the United States and Europe.
Technological developments (Lightning Network, scalability improvements).
Sentiment in traditional markets (stocks, rates) that can influence demand for BTC.
⚠️ Possible risks
Strong correction if a major geopolitical event occurs.
Abrupt slowdown in institutional adoption.
Increased competition from other cryptos if they gain utility and adoption.
💡 In summary
I expect a calm to slightly bullish phase, with interesting buying opportunities around supports ($33,000 – $35,000), and a possible breakout of the key resistance ($42,000) which would be a strong signal for a new bullish dynamic.
What do you think?#BTC110KToday? #BTCbelow100k