$BITCOIN has recently made headlines again — this time by breaking above the much-anticipated $100,000 mark. But beneath the surface of this impressive move lies a critical question that every trader and investor should be asking: is this a genuine breakout or just another trap?

After sweeping lower-side liquidity and shaking out weak hands, $BITCOIN surged upward, giving bulls a burst of hope. However, the current price action still lacks conviction and clarity, and there are two plausible interpretations of this move.

1. The Bull Trap Scenario (More Likely)

This could very well be a strategic liquidity hunt designed to trap long positions. The sudden pump may entice retail traders and latecomers into overleveraging, only to reverse swiftly and liquidate those entries. The lack of strong fundamental support and lingering macroeconomic fears — especially geopolitical tensions — makes this scenario quite plausible.

2. Recovery in Progress (Less Likely)

Alternatively, $BITCOIN could be in the early stages of a genuine recovery. It's possible the market is beginning to digest and stabilize from the recent impact of global conflicts. However, given the lack of strong confirmation from either technicals or fundamentals, this scenario carries less weight at the moment.

What to Expect Next?

At this point, the market is likely to enter a period of choppy, uncertain price action — characterized by fake breakouts and manipulative wicks aimed at shaking out both bulls and bears. This is a classic pattern during times of macro uncertainty and major technical transitions.

My Personal Strategy

In situations like this, I believe in caution over conviction:

I'm currently opting for small position sizes in derivatives trading.

I'm continuing to accumulate spot

gradually, taking advantage of volatility

without overcommitting.

Above all, I’m avoiding emotional trading and FOMO-based decisions.

Final Thoughts

Whether this is a trap or a true breakout will become clearer with time and news flow. Key events, both positive and negative, can sharply tilt the market’s direction. Until then, it's critical to stay focused, trade cautiously, and remember: it's not about timing the top or bottom — it's about surviving and thriving through the volatility.

Stay safe, trade smart.