**Thought on Bitcoin's Next Move and Price (as of late June 2025):**

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently navigating a pivotal zone, consolidating after recent volatility tied to macroeconomic factors and ETF flows. With institutional demand holding steady and supply dynamics tightening post-halving, BTC appears primed for a decisive move.

**Base Case Outlook:**

If BTC holds support around the \$60,000–\$62,000 range and macro conditions remain stable, a push toward the \$70,000–\$75,000 level is plausible in Q3. This would likely be driven by renewed risk-on sentiment, stronger ETF inflows, or signs of Fed easing.

**Bearish Risk:**

A break below \$58,000 could invalidate the bullish structure, opening downside potential to \$50,000 or lower, especially if economic data surprises to the upside (delaying rate cuts).

**Watch Levels:**

* Key support: \$60,500

* Resistance zone: \$68,000–\$70,000

* Macro trigger: US Fed rate policy & liquidity trends

Short-term caution is warranted, but long-term structural demand suggests any deep dips could be buying opportunities.

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