Why do contracts always get liquidated? It's not bad luck; you fundamentally don't understand the essence of trading! This article, condensed from ten years of trading experience, presents low-risk rules that will completely overturn your understanding of contract trading — liquidation is never the market's fault, but a time bomb you planted yourself.
Three Major Truths that Overturn Perceptions
Leverage ≠ Risk: Position Size is the Lifeline
With 100x leverage using 1% position, the actual risk is only equivalent to #Bitcoin of a full spot position. A student used 20x leverage to trade ETH, investing only 2% of principal each time, with three years without liquidation. Core Formula: Real Risk = Leverage Multiplier × Position Ratio.
Stop Loss ≠ Loss: The Ultimate Insurance for Your Account
During the 312 crash in 2024, a common characteristic of 78% of liquidated accounts: losses exceeded 5% without setting stop loss. Professional traders' iron rule: single losses must not exceed 2% of principal, equivalent to setting an 'electrical fuse' for the account.
Rolling Positions ≠ All-In: The Right Way to Compound Interest
Ladder Positioning Model: First position 10% for trial, use 10% of profit to increase position. With a 50,000 principal, the first position is 5,000 (10x leverage), adding 500 for every 10% profit. When BTC rises from 75,000 to 82,500, total position only increases by 10%, but safety margin increases by 30%.
Institutional-Level Risk Control Model
Dynamic Position Formula
Total Position Size ≤ (Principal × 2%) / (Stop Loss Width × Leverage Multiplier)
Example: 50,000 principal, 2% stop loss, 10x leverage, calculate maximum position = 50000 × 0.02 / (0.02 × 10) = 5000 yuan
Three-Step Take Profit Method
① Close 1/3 at 20% profit ② Close another 1/3 at 50% profit ③ Move stop loss for remaining position (exit if it breaks the 5-day line)
In the 2024 halving market, this strategy increased a 50,000 principal to a million during two trends, yielding over 1900%.
Hedging Insurance Mechanism
Using 1% of principal to buy Put options while holding positions can hedge against 80% of extreme risks. During the black swan event in April 2024, this strategy successfully salvaged 23% of account net value.
Deadly Trap Data Empirical Evidence
Holding a Position for 4 Hours: Probability of Liquidation Increases to 92%
High-Frequency Trading: Average 500 Trades per Month Consumes 24% of Principal
Profit Greed: Not timely taking profit resulted in 83% account profit retracement.
Fourth, Mathematical Expression of the Essence of Trading
Expected Profit = (Win Rate × Average Profit) - (Loss Rate × Average Loss)
When setting a 2% stop loss and a 20% take profit, only a 34% win rate is needed to achieve positive returns. Professional traders achieve over 400% annualized returns through strict stop losses (average loss of 1.5%) and trend capturing (average profit of 15%).
Ultimate Rule:
Single Loss ≤ 2%
Annual Trades ≤ 20
Profit and Loss Ratio ≥ 3:1
70% of the Time in Cash Waiting
Remember: Control your losses, and profits will run. Establish a mechanical trading system to let discipline replace emotional decision-making, which is the ultimate answer to sustained profitability.#目标财富自由