#BTC110KToday?

Trends and analysis updated as of June 25, 2025:

Current price: Bitcoin is trading near $106,300, after a recovery of 0.5% in the last 24 hours.

Recent context:

Quickly surpassed $107,000, driven by signals of a possible rate cut by the Fed and better risk appetite in the markets.

In June, $BTC has strongly hovered around $110,000, exceeding it last week, but failing to consolidate above that level.

Currently, prediction platforms assign a 69% probability that BTC will reach $110,000 this month.

Key drivers:

Macroeconomic relief, with higher chances of a cut in July: FedWatch data reflects a +7 pp compared to last week.

Institutional flows, with continuous inflows into ETFs and funds, adding more than $1 billion weekly in investment products.

Technical aspect: break of the downtrend and exponential moving averages (50/200 EMA) indicate a bullish bias; recent consolidation provides support to attempt new highs.

Conclusion: BTC is in a critical zone: macro and technical momentum favor a new rise towards $110,000, with high probabilities. However, volatility prevails and there is a risk of correction if it does not hold above $105,000–107,000.