Bitcoin Under the Microscope: Three Scenarios That Determine Its Future in 2025!

The famous digital currency Bitcoin is currently BTC# at a crucial stage during 2025, as on-chain data analysis indicates the possibility that the cryptocurrency may experience either a strong bullish wave or a prolonged period of volatility and consolidation. The future direction depends on a set of technical indicators and the historical momentum of prices.
A CryptoQuant analyst presents three potential scenarios for Bitcoin's movement
In a new report, analyst Axel Adler Jr. from the CryptoQuant platform identified three main potential scenarios for Bitcoin's trajectory, based on key momentum ratios such as Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV).
Adler notes that Bitcoin is currently in a 'beginning of the rise' phase, with the on-chain momentum ratio recording around 0.8, indicating the market's readiness to move, but without complete clarity on the direction.
In the most optimistic scenario, Adler expects Bitcoin to rise above the 1.0 ratio, which could lead to a bullish surge similar to what happened in previous market cycles, especially in 2017 and 2021. In this case, the price of the currency could reach around $175,000 over the next six months.
The second scenario assumes price stabilization within a range of $90,000 to $110,000, reflecting a state of balance with investors hesitant to sell or accumulate intensely. Meanwhile, he sees the third scenario, which is the least optimistic, indicating a decline in momentum ratio below 0.75, which could drive short-term investors to take profits, leading to a price correction between $70,000 and $85,000.
Realized market value hits a record high and supports the bullish trend
One of the key indicators supporting the likelihood of an increase is that the realized market value of Bitcoin reached its highest historical level at $882.2 billion on April 29. This indicator is a more accurate alternative to traditional market capitalization, as it relies on the last price at which each Bitcoin unit was moved, excluding inactive and lost coins.
Historically, an increase in realized market value indicates growing confidence among individual and institutional investors, and often precedes strong price surges.
Whale activity reflects renewed momentum in the market
This optimism is bolstered by the increasing activity of whales, as analyses reveal that large investors added over 43,000 Bitcoin units to their wallets over the past two weeks, worth more than $4 billion. This accumulation came after a cautious period that saw temporary sell-offs due to geopolitical tensions, particularly related to former U.S. President Donald Trump's stance on foreign trade.
The current price shows relative stability with limited increases
While the market shows signs of renewed momentum, Bitcoin is currently trading at $95,177. Investors' eyes remain fixed on the developments of technical and economic indicators that may determine the fate of the famous digital currency in the coming months.#BinanceAlphaAlert #BinanceTGEXNY $BTC

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