The U.S. and Israel are currently in alignment, first uniting on the issue of nuclear weapons in the Middle East, where no Middle Eastern country is allowed to possess nuclear weapons, except for Israel.
If Iran possesses nuclear weapons, it will severely threaten the interests of Israel and the U.S. in the Middle East, which is the least desirable outcome for both the U.S. and Israel.
The previous indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran now appear to be a smokescreen. The attack on Iranian nuclear facilities has been on the tables of Israel and the White House long before, so first Israel gets involved, and then the U.S.
The U.S. has now deployed B2 bombers with six bunker-busting missiles and has destroyed three important nuclear research bases in Iran. Iran has threatened to retaliate, and everything and everyone in the Middle East associated with the U.S. will become a target for Iran. It depends on whether Iran dares to attack U.S. interests in the Middle East.
As long as Iran dares to strike U.S. interests in the Middle East, the U.S. will definitely send troops.
Assuming that the U.S. and Israel simultaneously launch a full-scale military war against Iran, Iran alone will definitely not be able to withstand it. If the Islamic coalition can unite, it may resist for a while, but without unity, it will only be divided and eliminated.
Russia has made its latest statement: if there is a change in Iran's political system, Russia will take very negative actions. How negative these actions will be is uncertain; it may not send troops to support Iran but will increase its offensive and annexation efforts in Ukraine.
Iran's counterattack will be restrained or a full-scale war. If it only inflicts sustained damage on Israel without targeting U.S. interests in the Middle East, that will be passive. As long as Iran continues to strike Israel, the U.S. will definitely get involved, as Jewish capital and U.S. political interests are highly intertwined.
Iran should be bolder, striking both Israel and U.S. military bases in the Middle East. It is better to take the initiative rather than passively endure attacks.
In this era, China should be the one wielding the sword.
Monument to the Heroes of the People's Republic of China
Washington Monument
Dismantling the United States' military bases globally, China's rise is unstoppable. The U.S. military bases around the world are the biggest obstacle to China's development, whether from a geopolitical perspective or China's globalization in trade.
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