POST EFFECTS OF WAR ON MARKETS ■
1. Initial Shock & Volatility
After Israel’s airstrikes on June 13 and subsequent U.S. involvement targeting Iranian nuclear sites, Bitcoin dropped sharply, falling below $103,000—dragged down .
Altcoins, more sensitive to risk, fell even more dramatically—some down ~4% .
2. Maturing and Stabilizing
Despite geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin’s 60-day realized volatility dropped to ~27–28%, slightly below U.S. equities—signaling increased stability .
Long-term holders (whales, institutions) increased their holdings, reducing liquidity and building a foundation for a more stable market .
3. Whale Accumulation
Major players have been buying dips—on-chain data suggests a classic “bull flag” and accumulation reminiscent of previous rally setups toward $117,000.
4. Altcoins Lag Behind
Bitcoin dominance climbed to ~65%, as capital shifted from smaller tokens to BTC in a flight to relative safety .
The ETH/BTC ratio declined, signaling altcoin underperformance in this environment cryptoslate.com+15beincrypto.com+15ainvest.com+15.
5. Ceasefire Bounce & Risk‑On Shift
News of a fragile ceasefire around June 24 drove a strong crypto rebound:
Bitcoin climbed back to $105–106k (a 2–5% jump) .
Ethereum rose ~6%, XRP ~5%, Solana ~3% vanguardngr.com+1nypost.com+1.
Risk appetite returned as oil and gold prices eased, encouraging rotation into crypto .
6. Cyberwar & Regulatory Infrastructure
A cyberattack by an Israel-linked group on Iran’s Nobitex exchange led to a $90 million crypto heist, erasing stolen assets and warning of heightened digital conflict risk
Iran enacted intermittent internet blackouts to impede cyberattacks.
These cyber-risk events elevated caution toward exchange security and digital infrastructure.
📈 Summary Table
