Current situation (June 24, 2025):
- Price: ~0.000035–0.000036 USD.
- Context: eCash (XEC) is a cryptocurrency created as a result of a hard fork from Bitcoin Cash ABC (BCHA) in 2020, renamed to XEC in July 2021 (1:100000). It operates on PoS with Avalanche pre-consensus for scalability and fast transactions with low fees. Market capitalization: ~700–800 million USD (rank ~100–120). Trading volume: ~20–30 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~19.8 trillion XEC.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 0.000041–0.000074 USD (growth of 15–110%) in a bullish market and with increased interest in XEC.
- Neutral: 0.000035–0.000055 USD (growth of 0–55%).
- Pessimistic: 0.000011–0.000021 USD on corrections or regulatory constraints.
- Levels:
- Support: 0.000033–0.000035 USD, 0.000025–0.00003 USD.
- Resistance: 0.000045–0.00005 USD, 0.00006–0.00007 USD.
- Trend: Mixed. Daily chart is neutral-bearish (RSI ~50, 50 MA below 200 MA), weekly shows oversold (RSI ~24). Breakout at 0.000045 USD may signal a reversal.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Technology: CashFusion for anonymity, Avalanche pre-consensus (up to 5 million TPS).
- Integrations: listing on Binance, Gate.io, Huobi increases liquidity.
- Community: active support on X (@JardineCash, @EricLima81) emphasizes scalability and the role of XEC as a bridge for banks and governments.
- BTC Halving (2024): historically supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- DeFi potential: increase in adoption in payments and micro-transactions.
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify XEC as a security.
- Volatility: price has dropped 94% from ATH (0.000342 USD in 2021).
- Competition: other payment coins (DASH, NANO).
- Whales: low market cap is vulnerable to manipulation.
- Analyst pessimism: some forecasts (PricePrediction.net) predict a drop to 0.000008 USD in 2025.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections to 0.000033–0.000035 USD, stop below 0.000025 USD. Target: 0.00006–0.00007 USD. Consider for long-term portfolio (1–2%).
- Traders: Buy on breakout at 0.000045 USD, target 0.00006–0.00007 USD. Sell below 0.000033 USD, target 0.000025–0.00003 USD.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit due to high volatility and low liquidity.
Risks: Regulation, competition, whale manipulation, decline of BTC/ETH.