$BTC Here's a full snapshot of today's Bitcoin market;

šŸ“ˆ Price & Technical Analysis

Current Price: ~$104,944 USD with a daily intraday range between ~$100,055 and $105,934.

Support & Resistance Levels:

Key support sits around $100,800 (VWAP/near-term structure) and $99,250 (daily channel base).

Resistance lies in the $104,773–106,400 EMA‑100 / supply zone and $102,800–103,800 EMA‑20/50 cluster.

Indicators:

RSI (30-min) sits around 60, MACD shows bullish crossover, and Bollinger Bands are expanding — all hinting at momentum building to the upside.

šŸ“° Market Sentiment & Drivers

Bullish Momentum: Bitcoin successfully held above $100K—even after geopolitical shocks (e.g., US‑Iran tensions)—indicating dip-buying strength.

Macro Factors: Anticipation of US Fed rate cuts and ongoing global geopolitical tensions are pushing institutions toward crypto as a hedge.

Institutional Adoption: The US government's Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (established March 2025) plus spot‑ETF inflows (e.g., BlackRock's IBIT) are boosting credibility and demand.

šŸ”® Predictions & Forecasts

Source Short-Term (6/24–6/25) Mid-Term (Q2–Q4 2025)

FXLeaders Eyeing resistance at $109,280 → $111,569 if it holds above $101,276

Changelly Forecast to rise ~19.4%, reaching ~$121,021 by 6/25

CoinCodex June avg: ~$121,807, expected 67–71% upside into summer July ~$135,885; August ~$151,425; September ~$123,981

InvestingHaven 2025 range: $77K–155K; many bullish predictions up to $200K End‑2025 ā€œstretchedā€ target ~$174K–181K; 2026–27 upside above $200K

Standard Chartered (Geoff Kendrick) Q2 ATH around $120K Y‑end target: $200K

Galaxy Digital (Alex Thorn) H1 2025: > $150K; End‑2025: ~$185K

Analysts Caution: tight stop‑loss if price drops below $99,236.

āš ļø Risks & Watchpoints

1. Breakdown below $99K could trigger a deeper decline (~$93–94K) per some traders.

2. Macro shocks: any fresh escalations (e.g., Israel–Iran), Fed decisions, or global trade → volatility.

3. Regulatory changes: ongoing US policy shifts SEC, stablecoin law—could amplify uncertainty.

āœ… Strategy Outlook

Short-Term (Next 1–3 days):

Holding above $103–104K could spark momentum toward $109–111K; a drop below $100–101K needs careful positioning and stops near $99.2K.

Mid-Term (Summer–Q4 2025):

Market consensus remains bullish. Many forecasters project >$150K by mid‑2025, rising toward $180–200K by year’s end—driven by institutional flows, government support, and halving-related supply/demand dynamics.

šŸ” Final Wording

Bullish momentum intact, supported by technicals, macro backdrop, and strong institutional tailwinds.

Watch critical zones: $103–106K resistance vs $100–101K support.

Upside targets range from $120K–150K short-term, potentially $180–200K+ by year-end.$BTC