According to materials from the portal - By Cointribune EN
The conflict between Israel and Iran raises concerns about a major war, yet U.S. indexes fluctuate at their historical highs. Following American bombings in Iran, this situation is likely to change very quickly, casting doubt on a sudden market crash.
NASDAQ and S&P 500 reach record levels while bombings intensify in the Middle East. This illogical reaction is explained by investors' conviction that the conflict will be short-lived.
Some analysts believe that diplomatic negotiations will quickly defuse the crisis. Thus, markets expect a rapid resolution, as has often been the case in recent geopolitical history.
Oil confirms this trend, losing 4% after the initial escalation. Operators are betting on a return to normalcy and planned de-escalation among the main actors.
Recent U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities did not provoke the economic collapse that some observers feared.
Iran accounts for only 3-4% of global oil production, of which only a third is exported, mainly to China. This geographical dependency limits direct impact on Western markets. Even a potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of global oil supplies pass, would represent only a temporary issue.
Trump intentionally limits his strikes on nuclear facilities, avoiding a major military escalation that would require ground troops. This surgical strike strategy reassures investors about the controlled nature of the conflict.
The American public remains firmly opposed to war with Iran, forcing the administration to adhere to a minimalist approach. This political constraint ensures that escalation remains limited, thereby preserving global economic stability.
An investor must absolutely ignore their emotions to profit from the emotions of others. When the crowd panics, professionals buy. When euphoria prevails, they sell.
The media saturates information with catastrophically bad news. This editorial strategy keeps people in fear and inaction. The channels that succeed are those that constantly announce the end of the world.
This emotional manipulation hinders rational decision-making. Beginner investors remain paralyzed by geopolitical events instead of seizing opportunities.
Thus, emotional detachment becomes the main weapon of an experienced investor. He observes facts rather than adhering to opinions. He analyzes trends instead of listening to forecasts.
According to professional analysts, the coming years promise extremely high volatility. Two scenarios arise: either a crazy market with rampant inflation or a crash worse than in 2008.
Gold and Bitcoin are already behaving as effective safe-haven assets. Their technical trends remain optimistic despite geopolitical instability.
Goldman Sachs is now promoting the TINA (There Is No Alternative) concept, encouraging stock purchases. This recommendation followed their recent predictions of a 'lost decade.'
Financial markets develop according to their own logic, regardless of human emotions and even wars or geopolitical crises. Strategic diversification and emotional detachment allow turning every crisis into an opportunity for long-term wealth. One thing is certain: the coming years will be economically uncertain, and Bitcoin could very well become the safe-haven asset of the decade.
$BTC , $ETH , $SOL
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