In this article, I’d like to share my current outlook on the $BTC market—what to expect next and the likely short-term trend.
I’ll be focusing on the volatile, short-term price action in this piece, while leaving the broader long-term trend for a separate article.
We’ll start by analyzing the market from the daily time frame and break it down step-by-step into the lower time frames to give you a clear understanding of the current structure and movement.
At the moment, Bitcoin is trading around $101.9K and appears to be dipping into the key zone between $92.5K and $94K.
There are several reasons behind this expected move, with one major fundamental factor being the rising tension in the Middle East—especially Iran’s actions regarding oil and possible retaliations.
However, in this article, we’ll focus strictly on the technical side of things.
This is the daily view of the Bitcoin chart 📈
I’ll be breaking it down using various sketches to make it easier for beginners to understand.
I’ll also zoom out to give you a clearer picture of the overall trend 😇
Make sure to pay close attention!
First of all, we’ve spotted a bearish pattern on Bitcoin since yesterday…
Now, you might be wondering: Why is this considered a bearish pattern or something that signals a potential drop?
That’s a common question for new or casual traders—so let’s break it down step by step using a sketch.
What do you see?
Current market is bearish
There are several reasons why this pattern is considered bearish, but I’ll mention just 3 to keep it simple and easy for my followers to grasp.
As I always say, I’m not here to seek anyone’s approval—whether people think I’m good or bad doesn’t matter. My main goal is to provide value and help others benefit.
First of all:
We’re seeing the formation of higher lows in the market…
To make this easier to understand, I’ll break it down using both the Daily and 4-hour timeframes.
Simple sketch
IT IS MORE LIKE WALKING DOWN STAIRCASE
Secondly:
we’re seeing lower lows, which invalidates the consolidation zone on the weekly timeframe.
I’ll also break this down with a sketch to make it easier to understand.
Here, I’m using thin lines to show how these lows are being formed.
As you can see, the market keeps creating new lows—this signals a high probability that more lows could form in the coming days.
Let me give you a quick sketch to make this even easier to understand.
So this two reasons combine tells us that the overall trend is bearish
It almost looks like a skater gliding down a slope—that’s how the market is moving.
Alright 👍 great… I hope you’re following so far?
Now let’s move on to the third reason, which should help clear any remaining doubts.
Lastly
Usually, when the market sweeps a liquidity level, it often targets the next one below 👇—a move that tends to reflect on both the Daily and 4-hour timeframes.
That’s why we anticipate a further dip toward the demand liquidity zone, which brings us to my third point.
Since the market has already invalidated the previous demand zone, our focus now shifts to the next zone below for potential trade opportunities.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $102K. If you had identified this setup earlier, you could have avoided the potential $8K drop. That’s the power of learning how to read charts—it helps you minimize risk and maximize profit.
Now, the first key zone I’m watching is between $92K–$94K. Even though I’m monitoring this level closely, I’ll still wait to see how the market reacts before making any final decision or placing a buy.
I don’t buy blindly—I always make sure I have solid reasons before entering any trade.
Additionally, I’m also watching the $85K–$87K zone, which is why I won’t go all-in even if we get confirmation at $92K–$94K.
This approach is part of a broader strategy that’s helped me remain consistently profitable.
The key idea here is: I may look to trade the volatility at these levels rather than entering a swing trade, unless conditions are clearly in my favor.
Those who’ve been following me for a while already know how I trade.
Please make sure you read carefully, understand my breakdown, and most importantly, know what you’re doing before making any move. You are fully responsible for your trades.
I share this knowledge to help—not to seek approval from anyone.
This is how I trade volatility.
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