• rypto Fear & Greed Index (via Alternative.me): ~47 → Neutral sentiment bloomberg.com+14alternative.me+14economictimes.indiatimes.com+14




  • CoinCodex sentiment score: ~39 → Bearish leaning coincodex.com




  • Augmento Bull & Bear Index on social media: Mixed; slightly more bearish mentions on Bitcoin discussions augmento.ai




Summary: The market shows calmer "neutral" conditions overall, with technical indicators leaning toward mild fear—suggesting that traders are cautious amid the tensions.



🌍 Iran–US Conflict: Market Impact


Oil & Commodities




  • Oil prices spiked to 5‑6% gains—Brent near $81–$82, WTI around $78—marking multi‑month highs after U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites en.wikipedia.org+11reuters.com+11markets.businessinsider.com+11.




  • Markets subsequently pulled back slightly, but still remain elevated (+5–6% since spike) .




  • Risk: Further escalation—especially blockade of the Strait of Hormuz—could drive oil above $100–$150/bbl ft.com+2news.com.au+2en.wikipedia.org+2.




Stocks, Currencies & Safe Havens




  • Global equities dipped modestly: ASX -0.5%, S&P 500 futures minor decline (~0.3%) apnews.com+3theaustralian.com.au+3economictimes.indiatimes.com+3.




  • U.S. dollar strengthened as investors sought safe assets; major currencies like EUR, AUD, NZD weakened .




  • Treasuries held steady with mild fluctuation .




Crypto & Bitcoin




  • Bitcoin dipped below $99 K amid risk-off sentiment tied to Middle East tensions apnews.com+3en.wikipedia.org+3economictimes.indiatimes.com+3.




  • A slight rebound (~+1.8%) occurred after the drop, though it remains below recent highs .




  • Altcoins dropped up to ~4% economictimes.indiatimes.com.





📊 Summary & Outlook


MarketCurrent StatusRisk ScenariosOilElevated ($80–82/bbl)Could spike if Hormuz is closed—>$100 possibleEquitiesMild dipSensitive to prolonged conflict or inflation fearsCurrenciesUSD upActs as safe-haven while geopolitical tensions remainBitcoin/CryptoNeutral to bearishVolatile: drops ~2–4%, slight rebounds later

🔮 Key Drivers to Watch:




  • Iran’s potential military retaliation or blockade of Hormuz




  • Further U.S. or allied strikes




  • Fed/Central Bank policy reaction to inflation (via higher oil prices)




  • Risk sentiment shifts—crypto could accelerate downside in an extended risk-off phase





✅ Bottom Line




  • Bitcoin sentiment is cautious-to-neutral, with neutral Greed‑Fear (≈47) but technicals leaning toward fear (~39).




  • Market dynamics reflect typical risk-off behavior: oil up, USD strong, equities & crypto hit.




  • The next 48–72 hours are critical: any new escalation (like closing the Strait) could send oil to $100+, deepen risk-off moves, and depress crypto further.




Let me know if you’d like a deeper dive—like technical charts, crypto strategy, or monitoring alerts on the Strait of Hormuz, OPEC, or Iran’s response.


Relevant news on Iran–US strikes & markets

ASX cops $25bn fall after Trump strikesFaviconnews.com.auASX cops $25bn fall after Trump strikesTodayOil prices retreat from 5-month high after the US struck Iranian nuclear sitesFaviconmarkets.businessinsider.comOil prices retreat from 5-month high after the US struck Iranian nuclear sitesTodayFaviconFaviconeconomictimes.indiatimes.comBitcoin falls below $99K amid Middle East tensions; Altcoins drop up to 4%TodayFaviconFaviconFavicon

theaustralian.com.auInvestors flee ASX as the world awaits Iran's responseToday

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Sources