#BTCbelow100k The scenario, although surprising, is not impossible and has already been seen in recent hours due to geopolitical tensions (U.S. attacks on Iran) that generate risk aversion in global markets.

Analysis:

* Factors for decline: A series of events could push Bitcoin below $100,000. Global regulatory uncertainty, an unexpected tightening of central bank monetary policies (such as interest rate hikes in the face of persistent inflation), or massive liquidations by large holders (whales) under financial stress could trigger significant declines. Additionally, serious geopolitical events, such as the recent reports of attacks, can cause panic and massive sell-offs of risk assets like Bitcoin.

* Key support: $100,000 acts as a crucial psychological and technical support. A decisive break below this level could trigger further selling and push Bitcoin towards $96,000 or even lower. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced sharp corrections after major rallies, and "profit-taking" by long-term investors also adds selling pressure.

Outlook:

Although many analysts predict Bitcoin will remain above $100,000 and even reach new all-time highs in 2025 (common projections range from $120,000 to $200,000 by the end of the year, and even higher in the long term), the intrinsic volatility of the crypto market implies that a severe correction cannot be completely ruled out.

A drop below $100,000, while it could be temporary, would indicate a change in market sentiment and present challenges but also opportunities for long-term investors looking for lower entry points. The resilience of Bitcoin and its ability to recover from significant drops remain key features to watch.