$BTC 📉 Current Situation

• Bitcoin fell about 4% today, priced around $99,600, with an intraday high of $103,400 and a low of $98,800 .

• The massive liquidation (over $1 billion) was driven by tensions between the US and Iran, causing a drop in several risk assets, including BTC .

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🔍 Technical Analysis + Sentiment

• There are strong support tests at $100k, with a real risk of dropping to $95k if this floor is lost .

• In the short term, price action rejects the zone of $105–106k, suggesting a bearish reversal .

• RSI neutral (~48), near the 50-day moving average (~$101,800) and 200-day (~$98,500) .

• Sentiment remains cautious; the “Fear & Greed” index is in “Fear” mode (42), according to CoinCodex .

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🧭 Short-Term Outlook (1–2 weeks)

• Pivot + resistance: $100k to $103k. If it holds and breaks $105k, it may resume the rally.

• Risk of decline: below $100k, be aware that $95–98k becomes a target for a more intense correction .

• Today and tomorrow are decisive, with many options expiring on June 27 — this could generate extra volatility .

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🚀 Medium to Long-Term Scenario

• Some analysts (CoinCodex, Changelly) predict up to 33% rise in 5–8 days, targeting $130–136k . However, if it drops, it may need to “breathe” first.

• Institutional investors continue to invest: ETFs, large holders (“whales”) and even governments (e.g., US forming a strategic BTC reserve) signal growing adoption  .

• More ambitious projections: Cathie Wood predicts up to $1.5M by 2030, Tom Lee targeting $150k still this year • #CryptoBrazil

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