#شارك_أفكارك_حول_BTC Here is an expanded and supported look at future Bitcoin performance expectations
📈 The market now
Bitcoin is technically trading around $101,900 – $103,900, after a slight decline today.
Experiencing sideways movement (fluctuating within a range between support ~103,400 and resistance ~105,600), with neutral technical signals indicating that the market is waiting for a new catalyst for the next direction.
Analysts and large institutions
Cas Abbé (Cointelegraph): Observes an increase in the OBV indicator (trading volume), indicating fundamental accumulation. Expects a potential upward move towards $130,000–135,000 in Q3 2025.
Several sources like CoinPredictions and LongForecast expect the end of June to be around $113,000–124,000.
FinanceMagnates / Bitfinex: The price could reach $120,000–125,000 with a possibility of a reduction in the US interest rate after the jobs report.
Major institutions like Standard Chartered and Charles Hoskinson expect a reach of $200,000 by the end of 2025, and even $250,000 according to interest and regulatory scenarios.
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Current influencing factors
Accumulation of "whales" (Positive OBV): Indicates high buying pressure without significant price change.
Technical analysis (pattern analysis): A "bull flag" pattern may drive the price to break notable resistance between $105,000–108,000.
Macroeconomic stimuli: A weak dollar or a reduction in US interest rates could lead to a flow of liquidity towards high-risk assets like Bitcoin.
Regulatory environment: Political support in the United States, such as the establishment of a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" (executive order March 2025), gives confidence and reasons to run towards Bitcoin.
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Potential risks
Geopolitical–economic: Bitcoin may not be distinguished as a safe haven, especially during tensions like the conflict in the Middle East or inflation–interest pursuits, which may lead to a temporary price decline.
Less optimistic forecasts from betting markets (Polymarket): Indicate a 61% chance of reaching $110,000, but less than 15% to achieve $200,000 this year.
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Summary and Overall Forecast
1. Short term (2 weeks – 1 month): Bitcoin seems to occasionally retrace within a sideways range ($103,000–105,000) and then starts a wave up to $113,000–125,000 by July, driven by technical analysis and buying momentum.
2. Medium term (until the end of 2025): Mixed expectations:
Optimists: $150,000–200,000 (according to StanChart and Trump-policy scenario).
More Cautious: Likely to remain within $120,000–135,000.
3. Warnings: Bitcoin remains susceptible to significant volatility, and a substantial downturn is possible if the market suddenly returns to a "high-risk" state.
🧭 Recommendation:
For short-term trading: Raising the trading support around $103,000 and targeting a breakout of resistance at ~108,000 as the first signal for upward movement.
For HODL type investors: A bullish view in the medium and long term ($150,000–200,000), but beware of 20–30% fluctuations along the way.