Live Analysis of BNB/USDT Perpetual Futures (1D Timeframe)
Summary
Over the past week, BNB has stalled beneath the $660ā$670 supply zone following a breakout above $630. Volume Profile shows heavy trading between $620ā$650, with a Point of Control (POC) near $640. ICT/SMC structure has formed a Lower High at $668, suggesting a retracement to the $625ā$635 demand zone. Wyckoffās Effort vs. Result signals weakening buying pressure atop the range, and Order Flow data reveals clustered sellāorders around $665. We recommend a conservative short at $660ā$665 (TP $630, SL $675) or an aggressive long on pullback to $630ā$635 (TP $665, SL $620).
Detailed Explanation
1. Price Action & Wyckoff
Ā Ā Ā Ā 1.Ā Ā Ā Ā Resistance Test: Price has tested the $660ā$670 zone twice with declining volume on the second test, indicating inefficiency in absorbing sellāpressure (Effort vs. Result)Ā Ā .
Ā Ā Ā Ā 2.Ā Ā Ā Ā Accumulation to Markup: From 2019 to mid-2024, BNB accumulated between $200ā$300, then marked up into 2025; current pause resembles a Wyckoff re-accumulation before potential markdownĀ Ā .
2. ICT & Smart Money Concepts
Ā Ā Ā Ā 1.Ā Ā Ā Ā Market Structure: A Lower High formed at $668 on daily, signaling bearish swing structure.
Ā Ā Ā Ā 2.Ā Ā Ā Ā Supply/Demand Zones: Major supply lies at $660ā$670; key demand at $625ā$635 where prior consolidation occurred.
3. Fundamental Analysis
Ā Ā Ā Ā 1.Ā Ā Ā Ā Open Interest & Volume: Open Interest remains elevated, but 24h volume dipped ~10 % over the last three days, suggesting professional traders awaiting clear trend directionĀ Ā .
Ā Ā Ā Ā 2.Ā Ā Ā Ā Funding Rate: Slightly positive (ā0.01 %), favoring longs but risking a squeezeback if funding spikes.
4. Volume Profile & Order Flow
Ā Ā Ā Ā 1.Ā Ā Ā Ā POC: Highest traded volume sits near $640, defining fair valueĀ Ā .
Ā Ā Ā Ā 2.Ā Ā Ā Ā Order Flow: Large block sell orders cluster at $665, increasing rejection probability at that level.
Trade Setups
StrategyĀ Ā Ā Ā Entry ZoneĀ Ā Ā Ā Target (TP)Ā Ā Ā Ā Stop Loss (SL)Ā Ā Ā Ā R/R Ratio
ConservativeĀ Ā Ā Ā Short at $660ā$665Ā Ā Ā Ā $630Ā Ā Ā Ā $675Ā Ā Ā Ā ~1 : 2
AggressiveĀ Ā Ā Ā Long at $630ā$635Ā Ā Ā Ā $665Ā Ā Ā Ā $620Ā Ā Ā Ā ~1 : 3
Most Probable Path (Next 3ā5 Days)
Ā Ā Ā Ā 1.Ā Ā Ā Ā Retracement from $665 to $630ā$635 (demand retest).
Ā Ā Ā Ā 2.Ā Ā Ā Ā Rejection/Rebound: If $630ā$635 holds, expect a bounce toward $665; if broken, further markdown toward $600.
Key Definitions
Ā Ā Ā Ā ā¢Ā Ā Ā Ā Lower High (LH): A peak lower than the previous, indicating bearish structure.
Ā Ā Ā Ā ā¢Ā Ā Ā Ā Point of Control (POC): Volume Profile level with maximum traded volume, considered fair value.
Ā Ā Ā Ā ā¢Ā Ā Ā Ā Effort vs. Result: Wyckoff principle comparing volume (āeffortā) to price movement (āresultā).
Execution Notes
Ā Ā Ā Ā ā¢Ā Ā Ā Ā Place tight SL beyond structural invalidation levels.
Ā Ā Ā Ā ā¢Ā Ā Ā Ā Monitor realātime Order Flow (e.g., Bookmap, Cignals) for block order shifts.
Ā Ā Ā Ā ā¢Ā Ā Ā Ā Adjust position size per volatility spikes.
$BNB
Analysis based on live data from Binance and TradingView as of June 21, 2025.