A major shift is coming to the crypto market! As more asset managers file for spot crypto ETFs, the spotlight is now on which digital assets are most likely to get the green light from the SEC in 2025. Here's a breakdown of the latest developments, key deadlines, and approval odds. 📊
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✅ Top Contenders – 95% Approval Odds
Litecoin (LTC)
Solana (SOL)
XRP
Baskets/Indexes (Mixed Assets)
🔹 Filed by major firms like Grayscale, Bitwise, Franklin, and more
🔹 CFTC-regulated futures & viewed as commodities by the SEC
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🟩 Strong Runners – 90% Approval Odds
Dogecoin (DOGE)
Cardano (ADA)
Polkadot (DOT)
HBAR
Avalanche (AVAX)
🔹 SEC is likely to consider these assets as commodities
🔹 Futures markets exist for all these coins
🔹 Multiple ETF providers like 21Shares, VanEck, and Grayscale are backing them
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⚠️ Watchlist – SUI (60% Odds)
SEC stance: Unknown
No CFTC-regulated futures
Only filed by Canary
Final decision due: 12/21/25
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❌ High Uncertainty – TRON (TRX)
SEC & CFTC classification: Unknown
No regulated futures
Final SEC review due: 1/23/26
Approval odds: Not available
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📅 Estimated SEC Final Deadlines
Litecoin: Oct 2, 2025
Solana: Oct 10, 2025
XRP: Oct 17, 2025
Cardano: Oct 23, 2025
Polkadot: Nov 8, 2025
HBAR: Nov 11, 2025
Avalanche: Dec 12, 2025
SUI: Dec 21, 2025
TRON: Jan 23, 2026
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📌 Summary:
The SEC is actively reviewing multiple filings for spot crypto ETFs. Assets like SOL, LTC, XRP are leading the charge with strong institutional support and high odds of approval. If approved, these ETFs could drive a major bullish wave in the market.
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