5 most important Lessons After 5 Years in Crypto
After being active in the crypto industry for five years, I’ve come to two important realizations.
1. “You buy Bitcoin at the price you deserve.”
This line is so true. Most people don’t believe in Bitcoin at first — then slowly, they become Bitcoin maximalists. Even the CEO of BlackRock, who used to criticize Bitcoin publicly, is now one of the biggest holders. They didn’t buy Bitcoin at $15,000. Instead, they started buying around $40K–$50K, just before they applied for a Bitcoin ETF.
2. No indicator can predict the future.
Every chart tool, every indicator — they only show past data. They cannot predict what’s coming. Don’t fall for the “oversold” or “overbought” myths — an oversold token can fall even more, and an overbought one can keep going up. If you rely only on indicators, you’ll struggle to be consistently profitable.
3. Every trade is random — just like gambling.
Yes, trading is a form of gambling. You might not like the word, but it’s true. Even when you do deep fundamental or technical analysis, you’re still making a bet on the unknown — just like a gambler. The only difference is, gamblers accept the risk. Many traders don’t — and get frustrated when their analysis fails. Always remember: a few powerful players can move the market against you at any moment.
4. Trying to predict the next move will ruin you.
If your whole strategy is based on guessing what’s next, you won’t survive long in trading. Most traders (about 95%) lose money — if you think like them, you’ll get the same results.
5. Markets go down more often than they go up.
If you’re always taking long positions (buying), you’re going against the flow. Look for short opportunities more often — that’s where most of the market action really is throughout the year.
