$BTC

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🔥 Bitcoin Update – June 2025

📌 Market Snapshot

Price: About $105,460 — up ~0.8% intraday.

Recent range: Trading within $104k–$106k, with a rebound above $106k following calmer geopolitical developments .

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💡 Key Drivers

1. Geopolitical calm: Reduced tensions in the Middle East and a U.S. decision delay on Iran boosted crypto risk appetite, nudging BTC up 1.1%, alongside modest gains in Ether, XRP, and Solana .

2. Macro policy & Fed stance: The Fed’s pause on rates and trimmed forecast for 2025 cuts (one instead of two) keeps a lid on interest-sensitive assets like Bitcoin .

3. Corporate adoption continues: Companies like MicroStrategy are allocating billions to BTC; Tesla and others follow, reinforcing institutional involvement .

4. ETF traction & inflows: September’s consistent U.S. spot-BTC ETF inflows supported by momentum in MicroStrategy’s stock exposure suggest growing indirect investor interest in Bitcoin .

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📉 Technical Outlook

BTC is consolidating in a symmetric triangle pattern between $103.4k support and ~$105.6k resistance—momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) suggest low volatility before a possible breakout .

Short-term supports to watch: $103.4k and $102k. Upside trigger: $105.5k–$106.7k region .

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🚀 Looking Ahead

Bullish scenario: Strong support and easing macro conditions could propel BTC toward $120k–$125k by summer, with longer-term targets around $150k–$200k (Tom Lee, Cathie Wood) .

Caution zones: A break below $103.4k may expose levels near $102k, followed by $98k .

Cycle signals: 200-week moving average theory suggests continued uptrend, with potential cycle peak mid-2026 (~$220k) .

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🧭 Investor Takeaway

Bitcoin is in a tight consolidation amid positive but cautious market tone. Watch the $103–106k band closely—what happens here may define the next leg. Balanced exposure, mindful of macro and geopolitical factors, remains wise.