The hypothesis of a cryptocurrency price reaching $25 to $10,000 is certainly one of the most ambitious predictions circulating in the cryptocurrency space, and while it is interesting in theory, it comes with some key assumptions that must be realistically unpacked:

🔍 Basic Claim Summary:

• Pumpius suggests that XRP could reach $10,000 through:

• Capturing 10% of global foreign exchange trading volume (approximately US$7.5 trillion daily),

• Dealing with Real Token Assets (RWAs),

• Managing 5% of global debt settlements,

• Achieving high transaction speed, which means repeatedly reusing the same XRP tokens in fast transactions.

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🧠 Reality Check: Calculating Market Value

At $10,000 per XRP:

• With a supply of around 100 billion XRP, the market cap would be around $1 quadrillion.

• This exceeds the total value of global GDP (about $105 trillion), global stock markets, real estate, and even all paper currencies combined.

Critics say this is unrealistic. And they're right: this valuation would exceed the total liquidity available globally.

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📊 The supporters' counter-argument:

They argue:

• Market Cap ≠ Real Money Invested - It's just Price x Offer.

• Speed ​​reduces the need for high supply: If XRP is used thousands of times a day, fewer coins will be needed to generate high volume.

• XRP is a utility token – not a store of value like gold or Bitcoin, so its role is transactions, not staking.

This is based on the theory of "velocity of money," which is similar to how paper money works in an economy—money moving faster means less of it is needed.

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⚠️ Main issues in the message:

1. Scope of Adoption: XRP will require near-monopoly adoption by banks, governments, and the global financial infrastructure—and this is far from guaranteed.

2. Regulatory hurdles: Governments seeking to issue central bank digital currencies may not rely on XRP as a neutral bridge.

3. Current sentiment: Institutional adoption of Ripple is growing, but not close to settlement volume levels of $100 trillion or more.

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🧠 Final conclusion:

Is it mathematically possible for XRP to reach a value of $10,000? Technically, yes, if the global financial system is completely reshaped around XRP and we ignore market cap constraints.

• Is this possible? Very unlikely under the current circumstances.

But the message highlights one thing clearly:

👉 People who only look at charts may miss the profound macro vision that XRP aims to achieve – being the “plumbing” of the new financial system.

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✅ TL;DR:

• 🚀 Bold claim with interesting logic via the speed model

• 💰 XRP would be required to handle trillions daily, all over the world.

• ⚠️ The market value effects are astronomical.

• 📉 Realistically? Unlikely, but theoretically, it's an interesting way to explore XRP's long-term role.

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