#PowellRemarks Here are the key highlights from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks after the June 18, 2025 FOMC meeting:
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📌 Main Takeaways
1. **Rates held steady (4.25–4.50%)**
Powell emphasized that while the benchmark stays unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting, the Fed is in no rush to cut. Future moves will be data-driven, not on a preset schedule .
2. Economic uncertainty rising
He cited tariff-driven inflation as a concern and said the Fed needs more clarity on how trade policies impact price stability before adjusting rates .
3. Concern about data accuracy
Powell warned that budget cuts at agencies like the BLS threaten the Fed’s ability to gather reliable data—a “public good”—and said insufficient data makes decision-making riskier .
4. Market reaction
Stock markets initially dipped during his remarks, as investors absorbed the Fed’s cautious tone. Powell’s stance—"not hurrying to cuts"—spooked markets .
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🔍 Interpretation
Delayed rate cuts: The Fed still anticipates two rate cuts this year, but that outlook is weakening—seven of 19 officials now expect no cuts in 2025 .
Tariffs matter: Powell repeatedly noted that inflation from tariffs remains transitory, but persistent enough to slow down any move toward rate relief .
Focus on data quality: With economic measurement in question