$ETH

🧭 Live ETH/USDT Perpetual Analysis (Binance 1D) – June 19, 2025

1. Expected Price Movement in the Coming Days

  • Fundamental Strength:

    • Spot ETH ETFs have seen massive inflows—$286M in late May and $240M on June 11  .

    • BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF reported $73.2M inflow on June 5, contributing to bullish sentiment  .

    • Institutional staking continues, with over 32.8M ETH locked (27% of circulating supply), reducing sell-side pressure  .

  • Price Action & ICT / SMC:

    ETH has been range-bound near $2,500–$2,550, forming demand via higher lows. A bullish Order Block lies around $2,475–$2,500, suggesting accumulation before a potential breakout.

  • Wyckoff:

    Volume increases in support zones indicate a possible Accumulation phase, signaling institutional positioning.

  • Volume Profile & Order Flow:

    Point-of-Control (POC) clusters between $2,525–$2,550, acting as key pivot zones. Order flow confirms buy-side liquidity around $2,475.

Probable Path:

  • Short-term dip into $2,475–$2,500 to fill Order Block, then rebound through POC.

  • Initial resistance at $2,700–$2,800, followed by potential rally to $3,000 if breakout occurs.

2. Precise Entries, Exits & Risk Management

  • Conservative Plan:

    • Entry: $2,490

    • SL: $2,450

    • TP: $2,750 (R:R ≈ 3:1)

  • Aggressive Plan:

    • Entry: $2,540

    • SL: $2,475

    • TP: $3,000 (R:R ≈ 4:1)


3. Justification by Methodology

  • Price Action & ICT/SMC: Break of structure and bullish inefficiency (Order Block) support a rebound setup.

  • Wyckoff: Accumulation with institutional volume indicates upward pressure imminent.

  • Volume Profile & Order Flow: POC and order clusters guide optimal entries and confirms liquidity support.

  • Fundamentals: Sustained Ethereum ETF inflows and staking trend reinforce upside bias  .

✅ Summary & Risk Advisory

  • Low-risk: Enter at $2,480–$2,500 with SL at $2,450, targeting first TP at $2,700–$2,800.

  • High-reward: Enter at $2,525–$2,550 with SL at $2,475, aiming for $3,000.

🎯 Risk Management: Maintain minimum R:R of 3:1. Monitor flow and volume daily; exit or reduce if volume weakens on breakout.

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