๐ Crypto Market Snapshot (Mid-June 2025):
Bitcoin (BTC): Consolidating around key support levels near $103000โ$BTC $105000 after a strong rally earlier in the year.
Ethereum (ETH): Holding around $3,300โ$3,500, with signs of accumulation.
Altcoins: Many are underperforming BTC/ETH pairs, indicating a capital shift to safer large caps.
Macro backdrop: Global interest rates are stabilizing; inflation is declining, which is good for risk-on assets like crypto.
๐ Possible Short-Term Scenarios (Next 1โ4 Weeks):
1. Bullish Continuation
Probability: Moderate (50-60%)
BTC breaks above $103000 and targets previous highs near $105000 K.
ETH could follow toward $3,800โ$4,000.
Catalysts: ETF inflows, positive macro news, institutional buying.
2. Sideways Consolidation
Probability: Moderate-High (60-70%)
BTC ranges between $60Kโ$67K.
ETH ranges $3,100โ$3,500.
Low volatility, accumulation phase before next major move.
3. Bearish Pullback
Probability: Low-Moderate (30-40%)
BTC drops to $58K or lower due to macro shock or regulatory event.
Altcoins take bigger hits.
Possible support zone: $55Kโ$58K for BTC.
๐ Key Indicators to Watch:
BTC Dominance: Rising dominance suggests altcoin weakness; falling dominance could signal altseason.
Funding rates & open interest: Over-leveraged long positions can lead to shakeouts.
On-chain activity: Stablecoin flows into exchanges, whale accumulation, miner selling.
๐งญ Strategic Notes:
If BTC breaks $67K with strong volume, thatโs a bullish breakout signal.
Watch ETH/BTC ratio โ strength here often signals altcoin rotation.
Be cautious with meme coins and microcaps unless youโre managing risk well.