XRP to 10,000 dollars

The hypothesis of the cryptocurrency reaching a price of 25 to 10,000 dollars is certainly one of the most ambitious forecasts circulating in the cryptocurrency space, and while it is theoretically intriguing, it comes with some key assumptions that need to be unpacked realistically:

🔍 Summary of the core claim:

• Pumpius suggests that XRP could reach 10,000 dollars by:

• Acquiring 10% of the global foreign exchange trading volume (approximately 7.5 trillion USD daily),

• Dealing with distinctive real-world assets (RWAs),

• Managing 5% of global debt settlements,

• Achieving high transaction speeds, which means reusing the same XRP tokens repeatedly in fast transactions.

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🧠 Reality check: Market cap calculation

At 10,000 dollars per XRP:

• With a supply of approximately 100 billion XRP, the market cap would be around 1 quadrillion dollars.

• This exceeds the total global GDP (around 105 trillion dollars), global stock markets, real estate, and even all fiat currencies combined.

Critics say this is unrealistic. They are right, as this valuation would exceed the total liquidity available globally.

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📊 Counter-argument from proponents:

They argue:

• Market cap ≠ real money invested - it’s just price × supply.

• Speed reduces the need for high supply: If XRP is used thousands of times a day, fewer coins will be needed to achieve large volume.

• XRP is a utility token - not a store of value like gold or Bitcoin, so its role is transactions, not hoarding.

This is based on the "velocity of money" theory, which is similar to how fiat currency functions in the economy - where faster movement of money means a lower demand for supply.

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⚠️ Key issues in the message:

1. Adoption scope: XRP will need near-monopolistic adoption by banks, governments, and global financial infrastructure - this is far from guaranteed.

2. Regulatory hurdles: Governments are seeking to issue central bank digital currencies and may not rely on XRP as a neutral bridge.

3. Current sentiments: Institutional adoption of Ripple's currency is increasing, but not close to settlement volume levels of 100 trillion USD or more.

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🧠 Final takeaway:

Is it mathematically possible to reach an XRP value of 10,000 USD? Technically, yes, if the entire global financial system is restructured around XRP and we ignore market cap constraints.

• Is this likely? Very unlikely under current circumstances.

But the message highlights one thing clearly:

👉 People who only look at charts might miss the deep overarching vision that XRP aims to achieve - being the "plumbing" for the new financial system.

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✅ TL;DR:

• 🚀 A bold claim with interesting logic through the velocity model

• 💰 XRP will need to handle trillions daily, globally

• ⚠️ Market cap effects are astronomical

• 📉 Realistically? Unlikely, but theoretically, it’s an interesting way to explore the long-term role of XRP.

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