📈 1. Oil & Energy Markets
Oil prices surged dramatically, with Brent crude jumping 7–11% in mid‑June, reaching highs of ~$74/barrel
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Analysts warn that continued regional escalation, especially threats to the Strait of Hormuz, could drive Brent into the $110–150/barrel range—or even higher in worst‑case scenarios
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Investment funds and advisors now see energy stocks (Shell, BP, Exxon, Chevron, etc.) as more effective hedges than traditional safe‑havens like gold or the U.S. dollar
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🏦 2. Global Equities & Bonds
U.S. equity futures dived when tensions spiked: S&P 500 futures dropped ~1.1%, Dow futures fell ~1.8%
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RBC warns that stocks could correct up to 20% if conflict intensifies, due to higher inflation, weaker sentiment, and contracting P/E ratios
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Treasury yields rose, putting pressure on U.S. bonds amid rising inflation expectations .
🛡️ 3. Safe-Haven Assets & Currency Markets
Gold rallied with flight-to-safety flows; the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly
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The Israeli shekel jumped ~3.6%, reflecting capital inflows or instability-driven currency moves
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🌍 4. Inflation & Central Bank Policy
Rising oil cost added to global inflation concerns, challenging central banks like the Fed, ECB, and BoE:
Bank of England's shadow MPC urged maintaining rates due to "oil-price volatility"
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Singular Bank cautioned that oil at $110‑170/barrel could stall rate cuts, depressing global growth to ~1–1.5% and fueling inflation as high as ~7.5%#IsrealIranconflict