🚨 Today we have the FOMC at 21:00 RO, and it is most likely that the interest rate will not change, we have a 99.9% probability for this scenario. However, the following press conference is the most important moment of the day.

I expect Jerome Powell to take a slightly more relaxed approach, which would mean a more favorable position for the economy (dovish).

Personally, I am standing my ground and do not want to take on additional risks for the moment. It is a time of uncertainty, so I prefer to be cautious.

We also have the dot plot, which tells us whether one or more rate cuts are forecasted for this year, but I wouldn't give it much importance right now even though it matters.

Meanwhile, we also have the conflict between Israel and Iran on the "table." If good news comes from there, plus a positive attitude from Jerome Powell suggesting rate cuts by fall, we could witness a rally.

On the other hand, if tariffs are brought up again and we do not have good news on the geopolitical front, it is possible that the market will remain in a range without significant movements and we may see a slight correction, but nothing serious, in my opinion.

Until then, we will stay calm and wait to see which direction the market will take and under no circumstances will we touch leverage.

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